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复盘《生物安全法案》对CXO行业影响,BD政策对创新药行业无实质影响
Huafu Securities·2025-09-14 06:36

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "stronger than the market" indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 6 months [6][75]. Core Insights - The report analyzes the impact of the "Biological Safety Act" on the CXO industry and concludes that the BD policies will not have a substantial effect on the innovative drug sector [4][28]. - The CXO companies have shown resilience, with stock prices recovering and reaching new highs despite the changes in the Biological Safety Act [4][17]. - The report emphasizes the advantages of China's innovative drug industry, including talent resources, research efficiency, and cost-effectiveness, which are expected to mitigate the impact of external policies [4][28]. Summary by Sections Market Review - During the week of September 8-12, 2025, the CITIC Pharmaceutical Index fell by 0.3%, underperforming the CSI 300 Index by 1.7 percentage points, ranking 28th among CITIC's primary industry classifications [3][30]. - Year-to-date, the CITIC Pharmaceutical and Biotechnology Index has risen by 27.8%, outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 12.9 percentage points, ranking 8th among CITIC's industry classifications [3][30]. - The top five performing stocks for the week included: Zhend Medical (+41.3%), Haooubo (+28%), Jimin Medical (+25.9%), Kangwei Century (+23.2%), and Ao Jing Medical (+20.5%) [3][44]. Impact of the Biological Safety Act - The report details the evolution of the Biological Safety Act since December 30, 2023, noting that the stock price reactions of representative CXO companies have become desensitized over time, with current prices surpassing levels from December 29, 2023 [4][17]. - The performance of CXO companies in the U.S. market has remained strong, with significant growth in orders and revenue despite the act's implications [24][28]. Investment Focus - The report suggests focusing on three main areas in the innovative drug and its supply chain: companies with revenue and commercialization capabilities, potential BD opportunities based on technological trends, and exploring cutting-edge technologies such as gene therapy and CAR-T [5][28]. - The medical device sector is also highlighted as a key area for investment, with expectations of a policy turning point and improving fundamentals [5][28]. Stock Recommendations - The report recommends a focus on specific stocks including Kangfang Biotech, Baiji Shenzhou, Xinda Biotech, Enhua Pharmaceutical, and others for the upcoming month [5][12].