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水产品价格坚挺,水产饲料有望维持高增
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES·2025-09-14 08:14

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Maintain Overweight" [4] Core Views - The prices of aquatic products have generally increased in the first half of the year, and the growth rate of aquatic feed is expected to remain high in the second half. The production of aquatic feed is mainly related to fish prices and weather factors. The wholesale prices of the four major fish species remain high, with year-to-date price increases for carp, silver carp, grass carp, and crucian carp being 4.78%, 6.99%, 9.37%, and 7.00% respectively. Special fish prices have also seen significant increases, with year-to-date price increases for spotted catfish, live fish, California bass, and bullfrogs being 18.67%, 6.76%, 24.24%, and 22.81% respectively [1][11][12] Summary by Sections Aquaculture - The breeding volume of various special aquatic products has increased in recent years, particularly for frogs and catfish, with five-year compound growth rates of 17.5% and 11.3% respectively. Other species such as bass and mandarin fish have growth rates of 8.7% and 7.4%, while South American white shrimp has a growth rate of 4.8%. For 2024, the breeding volumes are projected to be 595,500 tons for live fish, 539,800 tons for mandarin fish, 938,500 tons for bass, and 840,100 tons for South American white shrimp [2][12] Swine Farming - The national price for lean meat pigs is 13.22 yuan/kg, down 3.4% from last week. Current valuations are still relatively low, and attention is drawn to leading companies with cost-effectiveness and high growth potential, including Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, Dekang Agriculture, and others [2][13] Poultry Farming - The price of broiler chickens is 7.02 yuan/kg, down 2.1% from last week, while the average price of chicken products is 8.65 yuan/kg, down 0.6%. The price of broiler chicks is 3.25 yuan each, down 4.4% from last week. There is a focus on potential price reversals following sentiment recovery, with recommendations for companies such as Yisheng Livestock, Shengnong Development, and others [3][13] Crop and Agricultural Products - The approval of genetically modified varieties is set to enter commercial sales after the public announcement period. The subsequent confirmation of actual transaction prices, profit distribution, and new season seed expansion will gradually clarify the growth potential of industry companies [3][13] Supporting Industries - The volatility of agricultural product prices has increased, and livestock prices have not yet entered a stable prosperity cycle. Leading feed companies are expected to replace smaller companies due to their advantages in procurement, scale, and capital. Attention is drawn to companies like Haida Group and Hewei Group [3][13]