EBSCN·2025-09-14 12:32Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the oil and gas industry [6] Core Viewpoints - The oil and gas industry has achieved significant exploration breakthroughs, with the oil service sector expected to benefit from the ongoing domestic reserve increase and production actions [10][11] - The "Three Barrel Oil" companies have significantly increased capital expenditures from 2020 to 2023, and are expected to maintain high levels in 2024 and 2025, which will benefit their affiliated oil service companies [11][12] - Global upstream capital expenditures are projected to decline slightly in 2025, but domestic investment is expected to remain high due to supportive policies [12] - The oil service sector's performance has improved, with major companies showing resilience in profitability despite falling oil prices [21][26] Summary by Sections Oil and Gas Breakthroughs - The Ministry of Natural Resources announced major breakthroughs in energy mineral exploration, including the discovery of 10 large oil fields and 19 large gas fields during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [10] - New geological reserves of over 300 billion cubic meters have been confirmed in the Ordos Basin alone, supporting stable oil production of 200 million tons and natural gas production exceeding 240 billion cubic meters [10][11] Capital Expenditure Trends - The "Three Barrel Oil" companies plan to invest approximately 210 billion, 72.9 billion, and 130 billion yuan in upstream capital expenditures for 2025, reflecting a 6% decrease from 2024 but still maintaining high levels [11][12] - Global upstream exploration and development spending is expected to be around 600 billion USD in 2025, a 4% year-on-year decline, with deepwater investments projected to decrease by 6% [12] Oil Service Sector Performance - In the first half of 2025, major oil service companies reported significant profit increases, with CNOOC Services' net profit rising by 23.3% and CNOOC Development's by 13.1% [21] - The gross profit margins of key oil service companies have improved, with CNOOC Services, CNOOC Engineering, and CNOOC Development showing increases compared to the previous year [21][26] International Competitiveness - The international competitiveness of domestic oil service companies is expected to improve, as their return on equity (ROE) has shown resilience compared to major international competitors [26] - The gross profit margins of domestic oil service companies have increased, while international competitors have experienced declines in their margins [26] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a positive outlook for the "Three Barrel Oil" companies and the oil service sector, as well as for leading companies in the refining and chemical sectors [5]