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上能电气(300827):Q2业绩环增,看H2国内外交付加速

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2][6] Core Views - The company is expected to maintain high growth in domestic solar storage product shipments, with overseas storage accelerating, which will enhance performance. The forecast for net profit for 2025-2027 is 634 million, 807 million, and 984 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 51%, 27%, and 22% [4][5] Financial Performance Summary - For 2023A, the company is projected to achieve revenue of 4,933 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 111%. The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 286 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 250% [2] - In 2025, the company is expected to generate revenue of 6,236 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 31%, and a net profit of 634 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 51% [2][4] - The gross profit margin for the first half of 2025 is reported at 24.1%, with a year-on-year increase of 1.2 percentage points [4] Market Position and Growth Drivers - The company has a strong position in the domestic ground-mounted solar market and is increasing its share in distributed business. It is also expanding into overseas markets such as India, the Middle East, and Europe, which are expected to support rapid growth in global solar business [4] - The revenue from the photovoltaic inverter business in the first half of 2025 reached 1.58 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 14%. The overseas revenue for the same period was 980 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 106% [4] Valuation Metrics - The projected P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 27.1, 21.3, and 17.5, respectively [2][5] - The projected P/B ratios for the same years are 6.2, 4.9, and 3.9, respectively [2][5]