格林大华期货早盘提示-20250915

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - The global economy maintains an upward trend, with China implementing the AI+ initiative, the energy storage installed capacity set to double in three years, and significant capital inflows into Chinese bonds and stocks in August. The US may expand its interest rate cut in September, and the eurozone's manufacturing PMI in August exceeded the boom-bust line for the first time since June 2022. Global AI giants are in a "military race" of model + intelligent agent, accelerating AI infrastructure development [1] Summary by Related Catalogs Important Information - Citi believes the August CPI report provides more basis for the Fed to start a rate cut cycle, expecting a cumulative 125 basis points cut in the next five FOMC meetings, with the policy rate potentially dropping below 3% [1] - China's Ministry of Commerce announced an anti-discrimination investigation into US measures in the integrated circuit field against China, and will take corresponding measures against the US based on actual situations [1] - Global AI giants are in a "military race" of model + intelligent agent, driving demand explosion. B - end applications are shifting from technical verification to large - scale monetization, and opportunities in the cloud computing track are emerging [1] - Alibaba open - sourced the Qwen3 - Next - 80B - A3B new architecture model, with a 90% reduction in training cost compared to Qwen3 - 32B, a 10 - fold increase in inference efficiency, and excellent performance in scenarios over 32K [1] - China released the "Special Action Plan for Large - scale Construction of New Energy Storage (2025 - 2027)", aiming for a new energy storage installed capacity of over 180 million kilowatts by 2027, which means it will double in three years [1] - As AI extends from training to inference and edge devices, the demand for large - capacity memory is increasing, with supply tightening. Micron may raise product prices by 20% - 30%, and automotive electronics prices may rise by 70% [1] Global Economic Logic - China implements the AI+ initiative, and the energy storage installed capacity will double in three years. In August, a net inflow of $39 billion into Chinese bonds and stocks occurred. The US non - farm payrolls data was significantly revised down by 911,000 people, and the interest rate cut in September may be expanded. The US Court of Appeals ruled that "reciprocal tariffs" are illegal. US capital goods imports in July reached a record $95.8 billion, and the manufacturing industry is accelerating. The eurozone's manufacturing PMI in August exceeded the boom - bust line for the first time since June 2022. Tesla will start mass - producing Optimus robots in 2026. Global AI giants are in a "military race" of model + intelligent agent, accelerating AI infrastructure development [1]