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行业点评报告:全球AI资本开支持续加码,存储步入全面涨价行情
KAIYUAN SECURITIES·2025-09-15 01:41

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights that major storage manufacturers have announced production cuts, leading to a significant reduction in market inventory and an upward trend in storage prices. For instance, Micron expects a 10% reduction, Samsung 15%, and SK Hynix 10% in the first half of 2025. Consequently, the global NAND Flash market price index rose by 9.2% and the DRAM market price index increased by 47.7% in the first half of 2025 [4][6] - The demand for enterprise storage is expected to rise due to increased capital expenditures from both domestic and international companies, particularly in AI investments. For example, Alibaba's AI and cloud capital expenditure reached 38.6 billion yuan in Q2 2025, with plans to invest over 380 billion yuan in the next three years [6][7] - The trend of domestic substitution is gaining momentum, with local storage module manufacturers poised for significant growth. The report suggests that the expansion of AI infrastructure in China will drive the domestic enterprise storage market, benefiting local manufacturers [7][8] Summary by Sections Industry Trends - The report indicates a clear upward trend in storage prices driven by production cuts from major manufacturers and increasing demand from AI-related investments [4][6] Market Dynamics - The transition from traditional DRAM to higher-margin products like DDR5 and HBM is expected to tighten supply and lead to price increases. For instance, the average price of PC DRAM products rose by 50% in July 2025 [5][6] Investment Opportunities - Beneficial stocks include storage module manufacturers such as Demingli, Jiangbolong, and advanced storage firms like Zhaoyi Innovation and Hengshuo Co. [8]