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农产品期权策略早报-20250915
Wu Kuang Qi Huo·2025-09-15 02:53
  1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The overall trend of agricultural product options is mixed, with oilseeds and oils showing a weak and volatile trend, while some products like apples show a warming - up trend [2] - It is recommended to construct option combination strategies mainly based on sellers, as well as spot hedging or covered call strategies to enhance returns [2] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Market Overview of Underlying Futures - Different agricultural product options have different price changes, trading volumes, and open - interest changes. For example, the latest price of soybean No.1 (A2511) is 3,956, with no change and a trading volume of 11.44 million lots [3] 3.2 Option Factors - Volume and Open - Interest PCR - The volume and open - interest PCR of each option variety reflect different market trends. For example, the volume PCR of soybean No.1 is 0.54, with a change of - 0.02, and the open - interest PCR is 0.42, with a change of - 0.00 [4] 3.3 Option Factors - Pressure and Support Levels - From the perspective of option factors, each option variety has corresponding pressure and support levels. For example, the pressure level of soybean No.1 is 4,100, and the support level is 3,900 [5] 3.4 Option Factors - Implied Volatility - The implied volatility of each option variety shows different characteristics. For example, the weighted implied volatility of soybean No.1 is 12.08, with a change of - 0.13 [6] 3.5 Strategies and Recommendations 3.5.1 Oilseeds and Oils Options - Soybean No.1 and No.2: The fundamentals of US soybeans have a neutral - to - negative impact. For soybean No.1, it is recommended to construct a selling option combination strategy to obtain time value and use a long collar strategy for spot hedging [7] - Soybean Meal and Rapeseed Meal: For soybean meal, a bear spread strategy of put options can be constructed, and a selling option combination strategy with a short bias can be used. A long collar strategy is also recommended for spot hedging [9] - Palm Oil, Soybean Oil, and Rapeseed Oil: For palm oil, a selling option combination strategy with a long bias can be constructed, and a long collar strategy is used for spot hedging [10] - Peanuts: A bear spread strategy of put options can be constructed, and a long collar strategy is used for spot hedging [11] 3.5.2 Agricultural By - product Options - Pigs: A selling option combination strategy with a short bias can be constructed, and a covered call strategy is used for spot hedging [11] - Eggs: A bear spread strategy of put options can be constructed, and a selling option combination strategy with a short bias can be used [12] - Apples: A selling option combination strategy with a long bias can be constructed [12] - Jujubes: A short - biased wide - straddle option combination strategy can be constructed, and a covered call strategy is used for spot hedging [13] 3.5.3 Soft Commodity Options - Sugar: A selling option combination strategy with a short bias can be constructed, and a long collar strategy is used for spot hedging [13] - Cotton: A selling option combination strategy with a long bias can be constructed, and a covered call strategy is used for spot hedging [14] 3.5.4 Grain Options - Corn and Starch: A selling option combination strategy with a short bias can be constructed [14]