Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" [1][8]. Core Viewpoints - The Ministry of Commerce of China has initiated an anti-dumping investigation against imported simulation chips from the United States, which is expected to reshape a healthier development environment for the industry [4][7]. - The simulation chip sector is experiencing a mild recovery, with a reported revenue of 24.502 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 13.16%, and a net profit of 503 million yuan, up 280.46% [7]. - The global simulation chip market is projected to reach 84 billion USD in 2025, with the Chinese market expected to exceed 350 billion yuan, indicating significant market potential [7]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The anti-dumping investigation covers simulation chips produced in the U.S., specifically targeting commodity interface IC chips and gate driver IC chips using 40nm and above process technology [4]. Market Performance - The simulation chip sector's gross margin stands at 35.34%, with a net margin of 1.91%, indicating a gradual recovery, although profits remain below the peak levels seen in 2021 [7]. Domestic Market Potential - The domestic market for simulation chips is anticipated to have a localization rate of approximately 22% in 2025, suggesting substantial room for growth in domestic production [7]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on domestic simulation chip companies such as Shengbang Co., SIRUI, Nanchip Technology, and others, as well as core semiconductor manufacturing firms like SMIC and Huahong [7].
电子行业点评:商务部对美产模拟芯片展开反倾销调查事件点评
Ping An Securities·2025-09-15 04:44