本周热点前瞻2025-09-15

Report Overview - The report provides a weekly preview of key economic events and their potential impacts on the futures market from September 15 - 19, 2025 [2][3][5] Key Economic Events and Their Impacts September 15 - The National Bureau of Statistics will release the monthly report on residential sales prices in 70 large and medium - sized cities at 09:30, and the report's impact on relevant futures prices should be noted [3] - The State Council Information Office will hold a press conference on the national economic situation at 10:00, releasing macro - economic data such as fixed - asset investment, industrial added value, and total retail sales of consumer goods. If 1 - 8 months' urban fixed - asset investment growth is slightly lower than the previous value, 8 - month total retail sales of consumer goods growth is slightly higher, and 8 - month industrial added value growth is basically the same as the previous value, the impact on relevant futures prices will be neutral. Expected 1 - 8 months' cumulative year - on - year growth of urban fixed - asset investment is 1.4% (1 - 7 months was 1.6%); 8 - month year - on - year growth of above - scale industrial added value is 5.7% (7 months was 5.7%); 8 - month year - on - year growth of total retail sales of consumer goods is 3.8% (7 months was 3.7%); 8 - month surveyed unemployment rate is expected to be 5.2% (7 months was 5.2%) [4] September 16 - The US Department of Commerce will release US August retail sales at 20:30. Expected August retail sales monthly rate is 0.3% (previous value was 0.5%); expected core retail sales monthly rate is 0.3% (previous value was 0.3%). A slightly lower retail sales monthly rate will mildly help gold and silver futures prices rise but mildly suppress non - ferrous metals, crude oil, and related commodity futures prices [5] - The Federal Reserve will release US August industrial output at 21:15. Expected August industrial output monthly rate is 0% (previous value was - 0.1%). A slightly higher industrial output monthly rate will mildly help non - ferrous metals futures prices rise but mildly suppress gold and silver futures prices [8] September 17 - The US Department of Commerce will release August building permits and new housing starts at 20:30. Expected August annualized total of building permits is 1.37 million (previous value was 1.362 million); expected August annualized total of new housing starts is 1.4 million (previous value was 1.428 million) [9] - The Bank of Canada will announce its interest rate decision at 20:30, expected to cut the overnight lending rate by 25 basis points to 2.50% [10] - The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) will release the change in US EIA crude oil inventories for the week ending September 12 at 22:30. If the inventory continues to increase, it will suppress crude oil and related commodity futures prices [11] - The World Bureau of Metal Statistics (WBMS) will release the global metal supply - demand report, and its impact on relevant non - ferrous metals futures prices should be noted [12] September 18 - The Federal Reserve FOMC will announce the interest rate decision, monetary policy statement, and economic forecast summary at 02:00, and Fed Chairman Powell will hold a press conference at 02:30. There is a 93.4% probability of a 25 - basis - point rate cut to 4% - 4.25%, and a very slight possibility of a 50 - basis - point cut. If the monetary policy statement and Powell's speech imply continuous 25 - basis - point rate cuts on October 29 and December 10 (US Eastern Time), it will help commodity and index futures prices rise but suppress Treasury bond futures prices [13] - The Bank of England will announce the interest rate decision and meeting minutes at 19:00, expected to keep the benchmark interest rate at 4.00% [14] - The US Department of Labor will release the number of initial jobless claims for the week ending September 13 at 20:30. Expected number is 270,000 (previous value was 263,000). A slightly higher number will mildly suppress industrial product futures prices (except gold and silver) but mildly help gold and silver futures prices rise [15] September 19 - The Bank of Japan will announce the interest rate decision at 11:00, expected to keep the benchmark interest rate at 0.5% and the 10 - year Treasury bond yield target unchanged [16] Other Factors to Note - Pay attention to domestic macro - policy changes, international trade and tariff wars, international geopolitical situations, and speeches by US President Trump and Fed officials for their impacts on the futures market [2]