Minsheng Securities·2025-09-15 06:01Investment Rating - The report recommends a positive investment outlook for companies involved in the simulation IC industry, particularly those benefiting from the domestic substitution trend [3][4]. Core Insights - The Ministry of Commerce has initiated anti-dumping investigations against imported simulation chips from the United States, indicating a strong governmental push for domestic alternatives in the simulation IC sector [1][2]. - The report highlights that U.S. manufacturers have long held significant market shares in the simulation chip market in China, with major companies like TI and ADI generating substantial revenues from this market [2]. - The domestic simulation companies are poised to benefit from the ongoing trend of domestic substitution, especially in the context of increased competition and declining prices from U.S. firms [2]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Industry Overview - The anti-dumping investigation targets simulation chips, particularly those using 40nm and above process technologies, which include various interface and gate driver chips [1]. - The investigation period for dumping is set from January 1, 2024, to December 31, 2024, while the period for industry damage assessment spans from January 1, 2022, to December 31, 2024 [1]. Section 2: Market Dynamics - U.S. companies, including TI and ADI, accounted for over $5 billion in revenue from the Chinese market in 2024, indicating a significant opportunity for domestic manufacturers to capture market share [2]. - The report notes a 37% increase in the import volume of relevant chips from the U.S. and a 52% decrease in import prices from 2022 to 2024, which has severely impacted the profit margins of domestic companies [2]. Section 3: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies that have a high proportion of general interface and gate driver chips, which have been under pressure from U.S. competition, as they are likely to be the primary beneficiaries of the domestic substitution trend [3]. - Specific companies recommended for investment include SiRuPu, NaXinWei, ShengBang, NanXin Technology, AiWei Electronics, JieHuaTe, JingFengMingYuan, and MeiXinSheng [3][4].