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大能源行业2025年第37周周报:山东机制电价竞价及绿电就近消纳解读关注绿色甲醇和能源RWA机遇-20250915
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan·2025-09-15 07:09

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the utility industry [1] Core Insights - The first mechanism electricity price bidding results for renewable energy in Shandong have been released, indicating a significant market-oriented shift in policy [3][17] - Wind power mechanism electricity price is set at 319 CNY/MWh, which is a 20% premium over the 2024 average spot trading price, while solar power is at 225 CNY/MWh, a 33% premium [3][24] - The report emphasizes the importance of management and operational capabilities for renewable energy operators in a market-driven environment [4][30] Summary by Sections Electricity Sector - The Shandong province has become the first to implement a market-oriented mechanism for renewable energy pricing, with significant participation from over 3000 projects [18][21] - The mechanism electricity volume for wind power is 59.67 billion kWh, while for solar power it is only 12.48 billion kWh, reflecting a stronger policy support for wind energy [3][23] - The report suggests that the future of solar power installations in Shandong may see reduced investment enthusiasm due to current pricing pressures and non-technical cost reductions [4][29] Grid Sector - New pricing mechanisms for nearby consumption of green electricity have been established, which will protect grid interests and promote cost reductions for users [6][35] - The system operation costs will be charged based on the electricity delivered, allowing for potential savings in electricity costs for high-load enterprises [7][37] - The report highlights that the new pricing structure will benefit wind power and energy storage development, making them key components in the green electricity landscape [8][42] Renewable Energy Assets - The report discusses the acceleration of Real World Assets (RWA) in the distributed solar sector, with significant investments from companies like JinkoSolar and GCL-Poly [10][44] - The RWA framework is expected to enhance liquidity and value reassessment of quality distributed solar assets, benefiting original equity holders [11][47] - The collaboration between LinYuan Energy and Ant Group aims to digitize energy assets, further supporting the RWA initiative [12][48] Green Methanol - A major project for green methanol production has been announced by Goldwind, with a total investment of approximately 18.92 billion CNY, aiming to produce 600,000 tons of green methanol annually [13][49] - The report anticipates a surge in demand for green methanol as multiple projects are set to commence production in the coming years [13][49] - Key suppliers and equipment manufacturers in the green methanol sector are expected to see performance improvements as the market expands [13][49]