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行业双周报-20250915
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES·2025-09-15 08:28

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating for the military industry [12][38]. Core Viewpoints - The intensification of great power competition is a long-term trend, leading to a favorable long-term outlook for the military industry. The defense strategies of the US and its allies are gradually shifting towards the Indo-Pacific region, which may escalate tensions around China. Increased defense spending is essential to ensure peace, and the military industry is expected to benefit from this trend. The goal of achieving a century of military development by 2027 is anticipated to accelerate during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [2][8]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The military sector has seen an increase, with the defense and military index rising by 2.14%, outperforming the broader market by 0.62 percentage points during the week of September 8-12. The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.52%, and the ChiNext Index increased by 2.10% [12][13]. - Among various military indices, the leading military stocks performed the best, with a rise of 2.29%, ranking first among ten indices [12][14]. Major News in the Military Industry - NATO announced the deployment of the "Eastern Sentinel" system to enhance defense posture, integrating military resources from Denmark, France, the UK, and Germany. Concurrently, Russia and Belarus commenced the "West-2025" joint strategic exercise, aimed at improving military coordination and operational capabilities [9][10][23][25]. - The report highlights significant domestic and international military news, including China's maritime patrols and military exercises, as well as developments in the Israeli military operations [23][24]. Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks include: 1. Assembly: AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Company (中航沈飞), AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry Group (中航西飞) 2. Components: AVIC Optoelectronics (中航光电) 3. Subsystems: AVIC Onboard (中航机载), North Navigation (北方导航), Aerospace Nanhai (航天南湖) 4. Materials and Processing: Philihua (菲利华), Huayin Technology (华秦科技) [10][11].