Workflow
中国电力(02380):煤价下滑带动火电盈利改善,水电资产整合稳步推进
Tianfeng Securities·2025-09-15 09:15

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price not specified [6]. Core Views - The company's H1 2025 results show a revenue of 23.858 billion yuan, a decrease of 9.87% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to ordinary shareholders is 2.587 billion yuan, an increase of 0.65% year-on-year [1]. - The decline in coal prices has significantly improved the profitability of the thermal power segment, with a net profit of 1.428 billion yuan in H1 2025, an increase of 28.89% year-on-year, despite a decrease in both sales volume and price [2]. - The hydropower segment faced challenges due to lower rainfall, resulting in a decrease in utilization hours and a net profit of 0.550 billion yuan, down 28.20% year-on-year [3]. - The company is rapidly expanding its renewable energy capacity, with a total installed capacity of 53.9406 million kilowatts, of which clean energy accounts for 44.1206 million kilowatts, representing 81.79% of the total [4]. - The company is actively integrating its hydropower assets to establish a clean energy flagship platform, with the asset restructuring plan already approved by shareholders [5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 23.858 billion yuan, a decrease of 9.87% year-on-year, and a net profit of 2.587 billion yuan, an increase of 0.65% year-on-year [1]. - The thermal power segment's revenue was pressured by a decrease in coal power on-grid electricity price to 0.373 yuan/KWh, down approximately 0.019 yuan/KWh year-on-year, and utilization hours decreased by 96 hours to 2469 hours [2]. Segment Analysis - The thermal power segment's net profit improved to 1.428 billion yuan, up 28.89% year-on-year, due to a decrease in coal prices, with the average coal price at 676 yuan/ton, down 199 yuan/ton year-on-year [2]. - The hydropower segment's net profit was 0.550 billion yuan, down 28.20% year-on-year, with utilization hours dropping to 1387 hours, a decrease of 434 hours year-on-year [3]. - The renewable energy segment saw significant growth, with wind and solar power sales increasing by 26.90% and 9.63% year-on-year, respectively, although profitability was impacted by lower on-grid electricity prices [4]. Strategic Developments - The company is pursuing a strategic asset restructuring to consolidate its hydropower assets, aiming to enhance its position as a clean energy leader [5]. - The restructuring plan has been approved by shareholders and is progressing through regulatory channels [5]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for 2025-2026 has been adjusted, with expected net profits of 4.081 billion yuan and 4.463 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth of 21.31% and 9.36%, respectively [6].