中资美元债周报:一级市场发行量回升,二级市场小幅上涨-20250915
Guoyuan Securities2·2025-09-15 09:28
- Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Last week, the issuance volume in the primary market of Chinese offshore bonds rebounded, and the secondary market showed a slight increase. The yields of US Treasury bonds mostly fluctuated upwards. There were various macro - economic events globally, including inflation data, employment data, and central bank policies [1][2][4]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Primary Market - The issuance volume in the primary market of Chinese offshore bonds rebounded last week, with 11 new bonds issued, totaling approximately $3.02 billion. The largest issuance was an $800 million green bond issued by China Construction Bank Shipping and Aviation Financial Leasing [1][6][9]. 3.2 Secondary Market 3.2.1 Performance of Chinese USD Bond Indexes - The Bloomberg Barclays Chinese USD bond index rose 0.29% week - on - week, and the emerging market USD bond index rose 0.48%. The investment - grade index of Chinese USD bonds closed at 200.6015, with a weekly increase of 0.29%, and the high - yield index closed at 163.463, also with a weekly increase of 0.29%. - The Markit iBoxx Chinese USD bond return index rose 0.18% week - on - week. The investment - grade return index closed at 241.6623, with a weekly increase of 0.18%, and the high - yield return index closed at 245.3842, with a weekly increase of 0.20% [4][8][13]. 3.2.2 Performance of Various Industries of Chinese USD Bonds - The healthcare and materials sectors led the gains, while the consumer staples and real estate sectors led the losses. The yield of the healthcare sector decreased by 774.9 bps, and that of the materials sector decreased by 38.1 bps. The yield of the consumer staples sector increased by 927.5 bps, and that of the real estate sector increased by 43.5 bps [17]. 3.2.3 Performance of Different Ratings of Chinese USD Bonds - Investment - grade names generally rose. The yield of the A - rated bonds decreased by 15.2 bps weekly, and that of the BBB - rated bonds decreased by 2.5 bps. Most high - yield names rose. The yield of the BB - rated bonds decreased by 4.0 bps, and that of the DD+ to NR - rated bonds decreased by about 5.4 bps. The yield of non - rated names increased by 808.4 bps [19][20]. 3.2.4 Hot Events in the Bond Market Last Week - Fanhai Holding failed to repay RMB 32.865 billion in interest - bearing debts on schedule. - Zhengrong Real Estate had new progress in major enforcement information, with a target amount of RMB 614 million. - Longfor Group's overseas debt restructuring plan made significant progress, adding asset trust and convertible bond options [20][21][23]. 3.2.5 Rating Adjustments of Entities Last Week - There were multiple rating adjustments for companies such as Aomen Grand Lisboa, Huainan High - tech Holdings, Tencent Music, and others. The reasons for the adjustments included business performance, market position, and industry environment [25][27][28]. 3.3 US Treasury Bond Quotes - The report provides quotes for 30 US Treasury bonds with maturities over 6 months, sorted by yield to maturity from high to low [29]. 3.4 Macro Data Tracking - As of September 12, the yields of US Treasury bonds were as follows: 1 - year (T1) was 3.6507%, up 0.08 bps from last week; 2 - year (T2) was 3.5556%, up 4.64 bps; 5 - year (T5) was 3.6334%, up 5.17 bps; 10 - year (T10) was 4.0643%, down 0.99 bps [33]. 3.5 Macro News - US CPI in August was 2.9% year - on - year, in line with expectations. Initial jobless claims increased by 27,000 to 263,000, the highest since October 2021. - Trump criticized Fed Chairman Powell, stating that the US has "no inflation." - US PPI declined 0.1% month - on - month in August, against an expected increase of 0.3%. - US non - farm employment was revised down by 911,000 from March last year to March this year. - OPEC maintained its global crude oil demand growth forecast for 2025 and 2026. - The European Central Bank kept its three key interest rates unchanged. - Japan's Q2 real GDP was revised up to a 0.5% quarter - on - quarter increase and a 2.2% year - on - year increase. - China's CPI was flat month - on - month and down 0.4% year - on - year in August. The central bank announced that the cumulative increase in social financing scale in the first eight months of 2025 was RMB 26.56 trillion. - China's goods trade import and export value increased 3.5% year - on - year in August. - The growth rate of national enterprise sales revenue in August accelerated by 0.9 percentage points compared to July. - The comprehensive inventory coefficient of automobile dealers in August was 1.31, down 3% month - on - month and up 12.9% year - on - year. - China's automobile production and sales increased 13% and 16.4% year - on - year in August respectively. - After the "8·8" real estate policy in Beijing was implemented for a full month, the transaction volumes of new and second - hand houses increased [30][31][35][36][37][38][39][40][43][44][45][47][48].