Huaxin Securities·2025-09-15 10:13Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the pharmaceutical industry as of September 15, 2025 [1] Core Insights - The trend of Chinese innovative drugs going overseas continues, with a focus on selective opportunities. The report highlights that the global pharmaceutical transaction volume reached 456 deals in the first half of 2025, a 32% year-on-year increase, with upfront payments totaling $11.8 billion, a 136% surge, and total transaction value hitting $130.4 billion, up 58% year-on-year [2] - The report emphasizes the promising clinical data from Chinese innovative drugs presented at the World Lung Cancer Conference, particularly in the ADC (Antibody-Drug Conjugate) field, showcasing significant efficacy advantages [3] - The report discusses the potential of small nucleic acid drugs and innovative delivery systems, indicating new market opportunities arising from strategic collaborations between Chinese companies and multinational corporations [4] - The CXO (Contract Research Organization) sector is expected to gradually recover, with a notable increase in orders anticipated in the third quarter of 2025, driven by improved innovation environments and funding from license-out transactions [5] - The 2025 medical insurance negotiation and commercial insurance innovative drug directory work has commenced, with a focus on orphan drugs and breakthrough treatment varieties [6] Summary by Sections 1. Pharmaceutical Market Tracking - The pharmaceutical industry underperformed the CSI 300 index by 1.75% in the past week, with a recent one-month increase of 3.32%, lagging behind the CSI 300 by 5.81% [22][26] - The medical device sector showed the highest weekly increase of 2.23%, while the chemical pharmaceutical sector experienced a decline of 2.57% [31] 2. Pharmaceutical Sector Trends and Valuation - The pharmaceutical industry index's current PE (TTM) stands at 40.60, above the five-year historical average of 31.60 [46] - The report notes that the pharmaceutical sector has shown a 15.06% increase over the past three months, outperforming the CSI 300 by 16.11% [43] 3. Recent Research Achievements - The report outlines recent research achievements by the Huaxin pharmaceutical team, including various in-depth and commentary reports on innovative drug developments and market trends [50] 4. Recent Industry Policies and News - The report details recent policy updates from the National Healthcare Security Administration regarding the 2025 drug directory adjustments and the approval of new drug applications [52][55]