AHB(SH:688639) Great Wall Securities·2025-09-15 12:49Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with expectations of a stock price increase of over 15% relative to the industry index in the next six months [5][20]. Core Viewpoints - The company is advancing its "Bio + AI" strategy to build a multi-dimensional product system, which includes amino acids, vitamins, and bio-based new material monomers. This diversification is expected to enhance profitability and growth potential as new products are gradually launched and technical upgrades are completed [9][10][11]. - The company reported a revenue of 1.489 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 46.54%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 115 million yuan, a decrease of 23.26% year-on-year [1][2]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue Growth: The projected revenue for 2025 is 2.617 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 20.1%. The revenue is expected to continue growing to 3.098 billion yuan in 2026 and 3.591 billion yuan in 2027 [1][11]. - Net Profit: The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 240 million yuan in 2025, recovering to 298 million yuan in 2026 and 381 million yuan in 2027, with corresponding growth rates of 26.6%, 24.3%, and 27.6% respectively [1][11]. - Profitability Ratios: The return on equity (ROE) is expected to improve from 7.2% in 2024 to 12.2% in 2027, indicating a recovery in profitability [1][11]. - Earnings Per Share (EPS): The EPS is projected to be 0.96 yuan in 2025, increasing to 1.19 yuan in 2026 and 1.52 yuan in 2027 [1][11]. Cash Flow and Financial Health - The net cash flow from operating activities in the first half of 2025 was 75 million yuan, a decrease of 9.93% year-on-year. The net cash flow from investing activities was -261 million yuan, an increase of 40.91% year-on-year, primarily due to reduced cash payments for fixed assets and intangible assets [3]. - The company’s cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period were 379 million yuan, a decrease of 3.63% year-on-year [3]. Market Conditions and Product Pricing - The overall gross profit margin for the first half of 2025 was 24.11%, a decline of 7.49 percentage points compared to the same period in 2024. This decline is attributed to rising costs of amino acids and vitamins, as well as a decrease in the prices of certain products [2][4]. - The price of L-alanine dropped approximately 42.86% from early 2025 to the end of June 2025, which has exerted pressure on the company's performance [4]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on enhancing its research and development capabilities, particularly in the integration of AI technology within its operations. This initiative aims to improve production efficiency and product quality, thereby supporting sustainable growth [10].