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通信行业周报:甲骨文发布FY2026Q1业绩,剩余履约义务高增-20250916
Guoyuan Securities·2025-09-16 04:12

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the telecommunications industry, reflecting the sustained high prosperity of the sector driven by AI, 5.5G, and satellite communications [1][5]. Core Insights - The overall market performance for the week (September 8-14, 2025) saw the Shanghai Composite Index rise by 1.52%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 2.65%, and the ChiNext Index by 2.10%. The telecommunications sector, represented by the Shenwan Communications Index, increased by 3.00% during the same period [1][11]. - Within the telecommunications sector, the highest increase was observed in the communication engineering and services sub-sector, which rose by 6.21%, while the communication network equipment and devices sub-sector had the lowest increase at 2.70% [1][14]. - Notable individual stock performances included Cambridge Technology, which surged by 25.61%, followed by Yuandao Communication at 22.86% and Sanwei Communication at 22.44% [1][16]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The telecommunications sector index increased by 3.00% during the week, outperforming the broader market indices [1][11]. - The sub-sector performance showed a general upward trend, with communication engineering and services leading the gains [1][14]. Company News - Oracle reported its Q1 FY2026 earnings with adjusted revenue of $14.93 billion, a year-on-year increase of 12%, slightly below expectations. However, its remaining performance obligations (RPO) surged by 359% to $455 billion, indicating strong future revenue potential [2][24]. - The global optical transmission market rebounded, driven by demand from cloud and AI sectors, with a 9% year-on-year growth in Q2 2025, reaching $3.8 billion [18][19]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology announced that China has built the world's largest 5G network with 4.598 million base stations [22]. Future Outlook - The report suggests focusing on the computing power industry chain and low-orbit satellite internet as key areas for investment [2][3]. - The AI cloud market in China is projected to grow significantly, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 26.8% from 2025 to 2030, driven by advancements in AI technologies and services [22][23].