基建投资连续下滑，期待后续财政加码

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [9] Core Viewpoints - Infrastructure investment has been declining, with expectations for increased fiscal support in the future [6][12] - From January to August, narrow infrastructure investment increased by 2.0% year-on-year, while broad infrastructure investment increased by 5.9% year-on-year [2][12] - In August alone, narrow infrastructure investment decreased by 5.8% year-on-year, and broad infrastructure investment decreased by 3.2% year-on-year, with a month-on-month decline of 1.8 percentage points [2][6] Summary by Sections Economic Data - The National Bureau of Statistics reported that from January to August, narrow infrastructure investment totaled 12 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 2.0%, and broad infrastructure investment totaled 16.3 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 5.9% [12] - In August, narrow infrastructure investment was 1.5 trillion yuan, showing a year-on-year decrease of 5.8%, while broad infrastructure investment was 2.1 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 3.2% [12] Investment Breakdown - In August, only electricity investment showed year-on-year growth, while investments in other sectors declined [12] - Transportation investment decreased by 5.4% in August, with railway investment down by 6.6% and road investment down by 11.6% [12] - Water conservancy investment saw a significant decline of 14.8%, with water management investment down by 29.8% [12] Cement Production - Cement production has been declining, with a year-on-year decrease of 4.8% from January to August, and a decrease of 6.2% in August alone [12] - The data indicates that construction activities may have slowed down due to seasonal factors [12] Fixed Asset Investment - Fixed asset investment growth has declined for two consecutive months, with attention on the physical workload progress in September and potential fiscal increases [12] - As of September 12, 2023, a total of 3.4138 trillion yuan in bonds has been issued this year, which is 655.2 billion yuan more than the previous year [12]