Minsheng Securities·2025-09-16 09:17Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies such as Shengquan Group and Hailide. Both companies are expected to benefit from their respective market positions and macroeconomic factors [3][4]. Core Insights - The chemical industry is experiencing a positive trend, with significant price increases in products like liquid chlorine, epoxy chloropropane, sulfur, and butyl acrylate. The industry index rose by 2.36% this week, outperforming the CSI 300 index [10][19]. - Shengquan Group is highlighted as a major domestic supplier of electronic resins for AI servers, with expected performance improvements due to increasing server shipments. Hailide is noted for its leadership in the polyester industrial yarn sector, benefiting from U.S. tariff conflicts [1][3]. - The phosphate fertilizer export window is open, with high demand expected to continue. The report suggests focusing on large phosphate chemical companies like Yuntianhua, which have phosphate mineral resources [1]. Summary by Sections Chemical Sector Overview - The basic chemical industry index closed at 4103.52 points, up 2.36% from the previous week, indicating a strong performance relative to the broader market [10]. - Among 21 sub-industries, sectors like membrane materials, phosphate fertilizers, and fluorochemicals showed significant gains, with weekly increases of 5.41%, 5.02%, and 4.58% respectively [12]. Key Companies and Predictions - Shengquan Group is projected to have an EPS of 1.53 in 2025, with a PE ratio of 21, and is rated as "Recommended" [3]. - Hailide is expected to achieve an EPS of 0.48 in 2025, with a PE ratio of 13, also rated as "Recommended" [3]. Product Price Trends - Liquid chlorine prices increased by 22% this week, while epoxy chloropropane rose by 7%. Sulfur and butyl acrylate also saw price increases of 6% [20]. - The report tracks 380 chemical products, with 71 showing price increases and 94 decreasing in price over the week [19]. Sub-industry Analysis - The polyester filament market is facing challenges with stable prices but weak demand, leading to cautious purchasing behavior among textile manufacturers [22][23]. - The tire industry is experiencing a slight increase in operating rates, with full steel tire rates at 66.31% and semi-steel tire rates at 72.61% [27]. Fertilizer and Chemical Safety - The report notes that the phosphate fertilizer export quota is expected to decrease compared to last year, which may alleviate domestic overcapacity issues [1]. - Increased scrutiny on chemical safety following recent accidents is anticipated to boost the agricultural pesticide sector's overall outlook [2].