Huachuang Securities·2025-09-16 09:39Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 136.15 CNY based on a valuation of 35 times the expected earnings per share in 2026 [3][10]. Core Views - The company has established a strong foundation in small molecule CDMO (Contract Development and Manufacturing Organization) services and is gradually entering a harvest phase with its emerging businesses. The dual growth drivers are expected to position the company as a leading technology-driven one-stop CDMO service provider [2][8]. Summary by Sections Small Molecule CDMO - The small molecule CDMO business is the cornerstone of the company's operations, leveraging advanced technologies such as continuous reaction and biocatalysis to create competitive advantages in cost and efficiency. The company is expected to maintain steady growth in this segment due to increasing demand for high-value orders and expansion into international markets [9][26]. - In 2024, the small molecule business is projected to generate revenue of 45.71 billion CNY, with a gross margin of 47.95%. The company anticipates 12 projects in the validation phase for 2025, ensuring a robust order backlog for sustained growth [26][49]. Emerging Businesses - The company has diversified into several emerging business segments, including chemical macromolecule CDMO, clinical CRO (Contract Research Organization), and biopharmaceutical services. These segments are expected to contribute significantly to revenue growth, with the emerging business generating 12.26 billion CNY in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.25% [57][60]. - The chemical macromolecule CDMO segment, which includes peptides and oligonucleotides, is experiencing rapid commercialization, with a revenue increase of 13.3% in 2024 [59]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 11.70 billion CNY, 14.04 billion CNY, and 17.00 billion CNY for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding growth rates of 23.3%, 20.0%, and 21.1% [10][16]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to rise from 3.24 CNY in 2025 to 4.71 CNY by 2027, indicating a strong upward trajectory in profitability [10][16]. Market Position and Strategy - The company aims to enhance its global footprint by expanding its production capabilities in Europe and Japan, particularly through the acquisition of the Sandwich Site in the UK, which is expected to bolster its service offerings and client penetration in these regions [54][56]. - The report highlights the company's commitment to maintaining a high level of research and development investment, which is crucial for sustaining its competitive edge in the rapidly evolving pharmaceutical landscape [21][22].