CMS·2025-09-16 10:32Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating for the company [2][6]. Core Views - The company demonstrates resilience in performance through cost reduction and efficiency improvements, countering the decline in coal prices [1]. - The company is actively pursuing an integrated business model, enhancing its operational stability and future profitability [5][6]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported revenue of 138.11 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 18.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 24.64 billion yuan, down 12.0% [1]. - The operating cash flow for the same period was 45.79 billion yuan, reflecting an 11.7% decline [1]. - The average selling price of coal decreased by 12.9% to 493 yuan per ton, while the production cost per ton fell by 7.7% to 177.7 yuan [5]. Business Segments - Coal Business: The company produced 165 million tons of coal, a decrease of 1.7% year-on-year, with total coal sales down 10.9% to 205 million tons [5]. - Electricity Business: The company generated 98.78 billion kWh of electricity, a decline of 7.4%, with an average selling price of 386 yuan/MWh, down 4.2% [5]. Future Outlook - The company is optimistic about demand growth in the second half of 2025, anticipating a national electricity consumption increase of 5%-6% year-on-year [5]. - Ongoing projects and asset acquisitions are expected to enhance the company's integrated operations and overall profitability [5]. Dividend Policy - The company plans to distribute a mid-year dividend of 0.98 yuan per share, totaling 19.47 billion yuan, which represents 79% of the net profit for the first half of 2025 [5]. Earnings Forecast - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 50.52 billion yuan, 52.43 billion yuan, and 55.05 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 2.54 yuan, 2.64 yuan, and 2.77 yuan [6][7].