金价，新高之后的“隐忧”？

Group 1: Gold Price Trends - Gold prices rose significantly from $3,315.7 per ounce on August 20 to $3,643.1 per ounce by September 12, marking a notable increase driven by rising interest rate cut expectations[1] - The market anticipates the Federal Reserve will implement 2.9 rate cuts in 2025, up from an earlier expectation of 2.2 cuts[1] - The actual yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds fell from 1.96% on August 18 to 1.67% by September 11, a decrease of 29 basis points[1] Group 2: Investor Behavior - The increase in gold prices has been primarily driven by European and American investors, with Asian investors showing a decrease in gold holdings by 4.8 tons since August[2] - During the same period, European and American investors increased their gold ETF holdings by 37.1 tons and 20.8 tons, respectively[2] - The strong performance of the A-share market and rapid appreciation of the Renminbi have contributed to the subdued demand for gold among domestic investors[2] Group 3: Economic Indicators - U.S. non-farm payrolls added only 22,000 jobs in August, significantly below the expected 75,000, while the unemployment rate rose to 4.3%[3] - The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August met expectations, indicating stable inflation despite concerns over tariffs and trade[4] - The market has fully priced in the expectation of three rate cuts by the Federal Reserve within the year, reflecting a cautious economic outlook[4]