无人叉车：智造升级引擎，物流变革新支点

Industry Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Outperform" [1] Core Insights - The report highlights the evolution of unmanned forklifts as a key driver for intelligent logistics transformation, integrating traditional forklift and AGV technologies to enhance automation and efficiency in logistics operations [2][12] - The market for unmanned forklifts is expected to grow significantly, with shipments projected to increase from 19,500 units in 2023 to 39,000 units by 2025, reflecting a penetration rate rise from 1.66% to 3.17% [4][66] Summary by Sections 1. Unmanned Forklift Overview - Unmanned forklifts combine traditional forklift and AGV technologies, offering advantages such as automatic navigation, obstacle avoidance, and path planning, which reduce labor costs and safety risks [2][12] - The average price of unmanned forklifts has decreased significantly due to the maturation of the supply chain and the rise of domestic components, with further price reductions expected [17][15] 2. Technological Evolution - The transition from AGV to AMR (Autonomous Mobile Robot) is driven by advancements in technology, with AMR offering higher efficiency and shorter payback periods [3][28] - AMR technology relies on SLAM (Simultaneous Localization and Mapping) for navigation, enhancing operational robustness and precision [3][31] 3. Market Dynamics - The industry is driven by four main factors: diminishing demographic dividends, rising labor costs, policy support for smart manufacturing, and technological advancements [4][48] - The Chinese unmanned forklift market reached a scale of $2.385 billion in 2023, accounting for 45% of the global market, with Asia leading at 47% [4][59] 4. Competitive Landscape - Major players in the unmanned forklift market include Linde, Toyota Material Handling, and Geek+, with a focus on system integration and intelligent solutions [5][101] - The global market for robotic control systems is projected to reach approximately 80 billion yuan by 2024, with a compound annual growth rate of 84.4% from 2020 to 2024 [90] 5. Application and Expansion - Unmanned forklifts are increasingly used across various sectors, including manufacturing, logistics, and agriculture, enhancing efficiency and reducing costs [21][71] - The penetration of unmanned forklifts into traditional industries is expanding, driven by technological advancements and decreasing costs [71][72]