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永兴材料(002756):2025年中报点评:成本领先优势巩固,盈利能力韧性十足

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 209 million yuan in Q2 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 30% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 9%. The non-recurring net profit was 145 million yuan, down 51% year-on-year and down 20% quarter-on-quarter [2][4]. - Despite the continuous decline in lithium prices in the first half of 2025, the company demonstrated significant cost advantages and resilient profitability. The sales volume of lithium salts reached approximately 12,050 tons, with an average price of battery-grade lithium carbonate at 70,400 yuan per ton, a year-on-year decrease of 32%. The gross margin for the lithium battery new energy business was 29.76%, a decrease of 2.94 percentage points year-on-year [10]. - The company has ample cash reserves, with cash on hand amounting to 5.224 billion yuan and almost no long-term debt. The dividend payout ratio reached 40%, with a total dividend of 159 million yuan in the first half of 2025 [10]. - The company possesses high-quality upstream lithium ore resources, ensuring stable raw material costs for lithium salt production. The mining rights of its subsidiary cover an area of 1.8714 square kilometers, with confirmed ceramic soil mineral resources of 49.22521 million tons [10]. - As a cost-effective lithium extraction enterprise, the company is expected to enhance profitability through the expansion of production capacity and the implementation of a 10,000-ton battery-grade lithium carbonate technical transformation project [10]. Financial Summary - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved total operating revenue of 28.31 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.28%, with a gross margin of 11.52%, down 0.79 percentage points year-on-year [10]. - The financial forecasts indicate total operating revenue of 80.11 billion yuan for 2025, with a projected net profit of 903 million yuan [16].