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灵宝黄金(03330):深度报告:风好正是扬帆时

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Views - The company is experiencing rapid profit release and significant growth in production, with strong internal potential for future increases in gold output [4][2]. - The company has a robust resource endowment, with a total gold resource of 131.8 tons and a stable annual production of 5-5.5 tons since 2022, showing a substantial increase of 59.8% in gold production in the first half of 2025 [3][34]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company, established in 2002 and listed in 2006, has transitioned from a state-owned enterprise to a mixed-ownership model, currently controlled by Shenzhen Jieshi Weiye Holdings [1][9]. - It operates five mining bases and one smelting facility, with a production capacity of 7,000 tons of ore and 1,000 tons of gold concentrate daily, resulting in an annual output of 30 tons of gold and silver each, along with other products [1][10]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 7.8 billion RMB, marking an 82% year-on-year increase, primarily driven by its gold smelting business [2][16]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 664 million RMB in the first half of 2025, reflecting a staggering growth of 335.3% compared to the previous year [2][16]. Resource Endowment and Potential - As of the end of 2024, the company holds 37 mining and exploration rights over an area of 216.04 square kilometers, with a total gold resource of 131.8 tons [3][34]. - The company’s mining operations are concentrated in Henan, Xinjiang, and Kyrgyzstan, with 72% of mining revenue generated from the Henan region in the first half of 2025 [34][39]. Investment Recommendations - The report forecasts net profits of 1.55 billion RMB, 2.05 billion RMB, and 2.75 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.21, 1.60, and 2.14 RMB [4][5]. - The valuation metrics suggest a P/E ratio of 13X for 2025, indicating a favorable investment opportunity given the expected growth trajectory [4][5].