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8月广义基建投资下降6.4%,地产投资下降19.9%
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES·2025-09-17 11:24

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the construction engineering industry [8] Core Insights - In August, broad infrastructure investment decreased by 6.4%, with a month-on-month decline of 4.5 percentage points, while narrow infrastructure investment fell by 5.9%, with a month-on-month decline of 0.8 percentage points [4][6] - Real estate investment in August saw a year-on-year decline of 19.9%, with the drop expanding compared to July [7] - The report highlights a trend towards stabilization in the real estate market, despite ongoing challenges [7] - Infrastructure investment from January to August grew by 2.0% year-on-year, outpacing overall investment growth [7] Summary by Sections Infrastructure Investment - Broad infrastructure investment in August decreased by 6.4%, a decline of 12.6 percentage points compared to the same month in 2024, and a month-on-month drop of 4.5 percentage points [6] - Narrow infrastructure investment fell by 5.9%, with a year-on-year decline of 7.1 percentage points and a month-on-month decrease of 0.8 percentage points [6] - Specific sectors such as water conservancy saw a significant drop of 29.8% year-on-year, while public facilities decreased by 11.6% [6] Real Estate Market - Real estate investment in August dropped by 19.9% year-on-year, with sales area declining by 11.0% [7] - New construction area fell by 19.8%, and completed area decreased by 21.2% [7] - The report indicates that the real estate market is moving towards stabilization, with inventory reduction efforts showing results [7] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends undervalued high-dividend stocks such as China State Construction (dividend yield 4.85%), China Railway Construction (dividend yield 3.74%), and Tunnel Corporation (dividend yield 4.48%) [7] - It also highlights the potential for growth in private investment in infrastructure, particularly in green energy [7]