BATIAN(SZ:002170) Great Wall Securities·2025-09-17 13:06Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting the stock price to outperform the industry index by over 15% in the next six months [5]. Core Views - The company's significant performance improvement in the first half of 2025 is attributed to high phosphate rock prices and increased production capacity from the Xiaogaozai phosphate mine, leading to a 455.79% year-on-year increase in phosphate segment revenue [2][4]. - The company is enhancing its competitive edge through an integrated layout in the phosphate chemical industry, with the Xiaogaozai phosphate mine entering production and achieving a resource volume of 63.92 million tons [9]. - The company is focusing on innovation in its compound fertilizer products, which are expected to contribute to stable performance [10]. Financial Performance Summary - In the first half of 2025, the company reported revenue of 2.543 billion, a year-on-year increase of 63.93%, and a net profit of 456 million, up 203.71% year-on-year [1][2]. - The overall gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 34.86%, an increase of 10.94 percentage points compared to the same period in 2024 [2]. - The company’s net cash flow from operating activities increased by 224.05% year-on-year, reaching 754 million [3]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 4.799 billion, 5.602 billion, and 6.063 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 1.111 billion, 1.369 billion, and 1.423 billion [11]. - The expected EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.15, 1.42, and 1.47, respectively, with P/E ratios of 9.3, 7.6, and 7.3 [11]. Market Position and Competitive Advantage - The company benefits from high phosphate rock prices, with market averages for phosphate rock remaining elevated, supporting revenue growth [4]. - The company has made significant advancements in its mining operations, achieving a 40% increase in mining efficiency and a 100% utilization rate of tailings [9].