CMS·2025-09-17 13:02Overall Overview - The revenue growth of Hong Kong stocks is at a historical low, with a decline of 0.9% in 1H25, while net profit growth improved by 5.4% [4][11][28] - The overall profitability of Hong Kong stocks has improved, with a net profit margin increase despite a decline in operating profit margin [15][21] - The industry structure shows significant differentiation, with new economy sectors like information technology and healthcare performing well, while traditional sectors like real estate and energy are struggling [4][28] Revenue and Profit Trends - In 1H25, the revenue growth for the entire Hong Kong stock market was -0.9%, while the revenue growth excluding financials, oil, and real estate was 0.5% [7][11] - The net profit growth for all Hong Kong stocks was 5.4%, with a notable 11.7% growth excluding financials, oil, and real estate [11][12] - The performance of the Hang Seng Index component companies showed a revenue growth of 2.6%, indicating better resilience among larger firms [7][11] Industry Performance - The fastest revenue growth was observed in information technology (12.3%), consumer discretionary (8.5%), and financials (5.2%), while the largest declines were in real estate (-20.9%), energy (-9%), and utilities (-4.8%) [4][28] - The healthcare sector saw a remarkable net profit growth of 202.9%, driven by continuous achievements in innovative drug development [4][28] - New economy sectors experienced an 8.4% revenue growth and a 31.7% net profit growth, contrasting with a 2.5% revenue decline and stagnant net profit in traditional sectors [4][28] Inventory Cycle and Capital Expenditure - The overall Hong Kong stock market is undergoing a destocking phase, with upstream industries reducing inventory while downstream sectors are entering a replenishment cycle [4][28] - Capital expenditure has significantly contracted across most industries, with only e-commerce and automotive sectors showing expansion, albeit at a maintenance level [4][28] Financial Metrics - The overall return on equity (ROE) for Hong Kong stocks reached 7.0%, recovering to historical average levels [23][24] - The operating cash flow for the Hang Seng Index improved significantly, while other companies faced cash flow deterioration and reduced capital expenditures [21][22] Conclusion - The report highlights a clear divide between the performance of new and old economy sectors, with the former showing resilience and growth potential, while the latter faces significant challenges [4][28]