Youcare Pharmaceutical (SH:688658) Orient Securities·2025-09-18 05:37Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 25.35 CNY, based on a 65 times PE valuation for 2026 [4][9]. Core Views - The company's performance is under pressure due to the price adjustment of its core product, Ginkgo biloba extract injection, which has significantly impacted revenue and profit margins [12]. - The company is accelerating its small nucleic acid drug pipeline, which shows potential for international market expansion [12]. - Increased investment in R&D is noted, with R&D expenses projected to rise, indicating a commitment to innovation [12]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for 2025 is expected to decline to 3,107 million CNY, a decrease of 17.8% year-on-year, with a gradual recovery projected in subsequent years [6]. - Operating profit is forecasted to drop to 76 million CNY in 2025, reflecting a 52.0% decline, but is expected to rebound significantly in 2026 [6]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 57 million CNY in 2025, down 53.7% from the previous year, with a recovery anticipated in 2026 [6]. - The company’s gross margin is expected to decrease to 49.3% in 2025, with a gradual improvement in the following years [6]. R&D and Product Pipeline - The company has 42 ongoing R&D projects, including 21 innovative drugs and 21 generic drugs, with several key products in the NDA review stage [12]. - The small nucleic acid drug YKYY015 and YKYY029 are undergoing clinical trials in both China and the US, indicating strong development activity [12]. - The company has also received FDA approval for its RSV and VZV mRNA vaccines, showcasing its expanding product portfolio [12].