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美联储降息继续稳固A股慢牛趋势
Huajin Securities·2025-09-18 06:24

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve's recent interest rate cut of 25 basis points is expected to prevent economic recession and aligns with historical patterns of preemptive rate cuts [1][7][6] - The U.S. job market shows signs of cooling, with the unemployment rate rising to 4.3% in August and non-farm payrolls being significantly revised downwards, indicating a potential economic slowdown [7][8][11] - A-share market is expected to maintain a strong slow bull trend in the short term, supported by the Fed's rate cut and domestic growth policies [13][19][20] Group 2 - The technology sector and certain core assets are likely to outperform following the Fed's rate cut, driven by liquidity easing and upward industry trends [19][20][21] - Historical data shows that after 18 rate cuts since 2005, sectors such as electronics, pharmaceuticals, and communications have frequently ranked among the top performers [19][22][27] - The easing of liquidity is expected to attract foreign capital into A-shares, with significant inflows observed during previous rate cut cycles [19][20][21]