Group 1 - The overall profit growth rate of A-shares has rebounded significantly, with a year-on-year growth rate of +4.7% as of August 27, 2025, compared to a decline of -3.32% in the same period of 2024 [5][7][9] - The disclosure rate of A-share mid-term reports reached 81.1%, with 4,401 out of 5,426 listed companies having disclosed their performance [5][7][9] - Among the disclosed companies, 47.1% achieved positive profit growth, with the main board, ChiNext, and STAR Market showing varying growth rates [5][9][10] Group 2 - The cyclical and growth industries have shown superior profit growth rates, particularly in agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, fishery, steel, building materials, media, computers, non-ferrous metals, and electronics, with growth rates reaching as high as 194% and 168% [9][10][18] - The banking, non-banking, automotive, and other sectors also reported high proportions of positive profit growth, with non-banking financials at 84.9% and automotive at 57.1% [9][10][18] - Conversely, industries such as real estate, coal, and light manufacturing reported negative profit growth rates, with real estate at -128% [9][10][18] Group 3 - Industrial profit growth has improved, with the cumulative year-on-year growth rate for industrial enterprises in April to June 2025 at -1.8%, an improvement from -3.3% in 2024 [12][13][16] - Specific sectors such as transportation, electrical new energy, non-ferrous metals, and machinery have shown high profit growth rates, with transportation at 39.2% and electrical new energy at 13.0% [12][16][17] - The automotive sector also experienced a slight profit increase of 3.6% during the same period [12][16][17] Group 4 - The real estate, computer, and other industries face low year-on-year growth rate bases, which may benefit their performance in 2025 [18][19] - Industries like agriculture, electronics, and automotive had high growth rates in 2024, which may pose challenges in 2025 due to high base effects [18][19] - Conversely, sectors such as steel, building materials, and media are expected to benefit from low base effects, with significant year-on-year growth rates anticipated [18][19] Group 5 - The upstream sectors, particularly non-ferrous metals, have seen price increases, contributing to improved industry sentiment [21][22] - The midstream sectors, including electronics and transportation, have also shown signs of recovery, with significant profit growth in the first half of 2025 [31][33] - Downstream sectors like automotive and retail are expected to improve, driven by strong demand and supportive policies [37][38]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate (Maintain)" [5] Core Views - The company is steadily improving its main business and has achieved significant results in digital transformation [2] - The company is focusing on high-quality development by deepening the reform of its publishing business and increasing R&D investment to enhance competitiveness [7] - The company has a strong resource endowment and scale advantages, which support its balanced development across various business segments [7] Financial Data and Valuation - Revenue for 2023 is projected at 9,365 million, with a year-on-year growth of 3.4%. It is expected to decline to 9,172 million in 2024, then recover to 9,669 million in 2025, with a growth rate of 5.4% [4] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 1,284 million in 2023, with a significant increase of 36.1%, followed by a decline to 810 million in 2024, and a recovery to 1,118 million in 2025, reflecting a growth of 38.1% [4] - The gross profit margin is projected to improve from 31.8% in 2023 to 33.7% in 2025 [4] - Earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 1.46 in 2023, declining to 0.92 in 2024, and then recovering to 1.27 in 2025 [4] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 10.2 in 2023 to 9.3 in 2027, indicating potential undervaluation [4] Stock Performance - The company's stock price as of August 26, 2025, is 14.80, with a total market capitalization of 13,053.16 million [5] - The stock has shown a 36.08% absolute return over the past 12 months, despite a relative decline of 23.13% over the last three months [6]

2025 年 08 月 27 日 公司研究●证券研究报告 国能日新（301162.SZ） 公司快报 功率预测主业高增，创新业务构筑新动能 投资要点 | | | | 投资评级 | 买入(维持) | | --- | --- | | 股价(2025-08-26) | 元 54.21 | | 交易数据 | | | 总市值（百万元） | 7,187.36 | | 流通市值（百万元） | 4,620.08 | | 总股本（百万股） | 132.58 | | 流通股本（百万股） | 85.23 | 一年股价表现 资料来源：聚源 升幅% 1M 3M 12M | 相对收益 | -6.77 | -1.68 | 66.12 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 绝对收益 | 1.12 | 13.67 | 100.07 | | 分析师 | | | 贺朝晖 | | SAC | | 执业证书编号：S0910525030003 | | hezhaohui@huajinsc.cn 分析师 周涛 SAC 执业证书编号：S0910523050001 zhoutao@huajinsc.cn 相关报告 国能日新：核心业务稳健增 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [3] Core Views - The company achieved record high revenue in H1 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 20.1%, reaching 186.1 billion yuan. The second quarter alone saw revenue of 92.7 billion yuan, up 7.2% year-on-year [5][6] - The company is focusing on advanced packaging technology and has increased its R&D investment by 20.5% in H1 2025, amounting to 9.9 billion yuan [5][6] - The company is expected to see revenue growth from 410.98 billion yuan in 2025 to 516.10 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding net profits increasing from 19.06 billion yuan to 31.82 billion yuan [6][7] Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company's gross profit margin remained stable compared to the previous year, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 4.7 billion yuan, a decrease of 24.0% year-on-year [5][6] - The company’s revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 410.98 billion yuan, 461.99 billion yuan, and 516.10 billion yuan respectively, with net profits of 19.06 billion yuan, 24.34 billion yuan, and 31.82 billion yuan [6][7] - The company’s P/E ratio is projected to decrease from 36.5 in 2025 to 21.8 in 2027, indicating potential for growth in earnings relative to its stock price [7][8] Market Position and Strategy - The company is capitalizing on market opportunities in sectors such as smart driving, high-density storage, and automotive electronics, with respective revenue growth rates of 72.1%, 38.6%, and 34.2% year-on-year in H1 2025 [5][6] - The establishment of a new subsidiary focused on system-level packaging and the completion of a chip testing facility for automotive electronics are part of the company's strategy to enhance its technological capabilities and production capacity [5][6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the semiconductor mask industry, particularly focusing on domestic manufacturers entering a new phase of development [1]. Core Insights - The mask is a critical material in microelectronics manufacturing, directly impacting the yield of downstream products. The semiconductor wafer manufacturing materials market reached $32.2 billion in 2019, with masks accounting for approximately 13% of costs [3]. - China is the largest panel production base globally, with over 60% of the world's capacity. However, the mask market is still dominated by US and Japanese manufacturers, with domestic players like Qingyi Optoelectronics and Luwei Optoelectronics gradually increasing their market penetration [3]. - The domestic semiconductor mask market is projected to reach approximately 18.7 billion RMB in 2025, with wafer manufacturing masks expected to account for 10 billion RMB [3]. - Investment recommendations include Qingyi Optoelectronics (strong buy), Luwei Optoelectronics (watch closely), and Longtu Photomask (watch closely) [3]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Mask Production and Market Dynamics - The mask production process has high technical barriers, and the market is vast with low domestic penetration. High-end masks require advanced equipment and material support [5][6]. - The semiconductor mask industry is closely tied to the growth of downstream sectors, with masks representing about 12% of the semiconductor materials market [74]. Section 2: Market Size and Growth Projections - The global semiconductor materials market is expected to reach $67.5 billion in 2024, with a projected growth rate of 3.8% [77]. - The domestic semiconductor mask market is anticipated to grow significantly, with a forecast of 18.7 billion RMB in 2025, driven by increasing demand in wafer manufacturing and packaging [80]. Section 3: Competitive Landscape - The independent third-party mask manufacturers are expected to gain market share as the disadvantages of self-built mask factories become apparent. Currently, independent manufacturers hold about 35% of the market, with major players being Photronics, Toppan, and DNP [83]. - Domestic manufacturers like Qingyi Optoelectronics and Luwei Optoelectronics are gradually increasing their market presence, although their overall revenue remains relatively low compared to international competitors [86].

Market Trends - The A-share market is expected to continue its slow bull trend due to strong fundamentals, loose policies, and liquidity conditions[6] - Since 2005, the Shanghai Composite Index's PE percentile has broken above 60% seven times, with six instances leading to further increases, averaging 2-4 months of upward movement[6][8] Economic Indicators - July's export growth rate was 7.2%, exceeding expectations, supported by a low base from the previous year[11] - The manufacturing PMI has shown improvements in five of the six instances where the market continued to rise after breaking the 60% PE threshold[6][12] Policy Environment - Recent policies aimed at promoting the healthy development of the private economy and consumer spending are being implemented, including personal consumption loan subsidies[15][19] - The geopolitical risk index has significantly decreased, indicating a more stable external environment for the market[16] Industry Focus - Short-term focus should be on growth and recovery sectors, particularly undervalued industries in technology, cyclical sectors, and large financials[26] - High-growth sectors currently include artificial intelligence, robotics, and consumer electronics, while undervalued sectors include transportation, coal, and petrochemicals[26][27] Investment Recommendations - It is advised to continue accumulating positions in sectors with upward policy and industry trends, such as robotics, electronics, and innovative pharmaceuticals[39] - The report suggests a balanced allocation towards sectors with improving expectations, including new energy, non-ferrous metals, and retail[39]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [3] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 2.209 billion USD in Q2 2025, which is a 1.7% decrease quarter-over-quarter, better than the guidance of a 4% to 6% decline. The average selling price decreased by 6.4%, while the number of wafers sold increased by 4.3% to 2.39 million [6] - The company is experiencing significant growth in demand for analog chips, particularly in the smartphone fast charging and power management sectors, as domestic companies accelerate the replacement of foreign market shares [6] - The company expects a revenue growth of 5% to 7% in Q3 2025, with an anticipated increase in both shipment volume and average selling price [6] - By 2030, mainland China is projected to become the largest foundry center globally, with the company positioned to benefit from this trend [6] Financial Data and Valuation - The company’s projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 671.64 billion, 771.20 billion, and 876.37 billion CNY, respectively, with year-over-year growth rates of 16.2%, 14.8%, and 13.6% [6][8] - The projected net profit for the same years is 49.71 billion, 60.82 billion, and 69.35 billion CNY, with year-over-year growth rates of 34.4%, 22.4%, and 14.0% [6][8] - The gross margin for Q2 2025 was 20.4%, with an expected range of 18% to 20% for Q3 2025 [6] - The company’s capacity utilization rate was 92.5% in Q2 2025, an increase of 2.9 percentage points from the previous quarter [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2][5] Core Views - The company's revenue is expected to grow from 169.94 billion CNY in 2025 to 229.04 billion CNY in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 18.1%, 16.8%, and 15.4% respectively [5] - The company has shown continuous improvement in key operational metrics, with a significant increase in sales revenue and gross margin in Q2 2025, achieving a sales revenue of 566 million USD, which is an 18.3% year-on-year increase [4][5] - The company is focusing on enhancing its core competencies in product, process, R&D, and supply chain, leading to cost reduction and efficiency improvements [4] Financial Data and Valuation - The projected financial performance includes: - Revenue for 2025 is estimated at 16,994 million CNY, with a gross margin of 18.8% [5][6] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 693 million CNY in 2025, reflecting an 82.1% year-on-year increase [5] - The company maintains a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 2.5 for 2025 [5] - The company has a total market capitalization of approximately 111.98 billion CNY and a circulating market capitalization of about 26.40 billion CNY [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (首次) [2] Core Viewpoints - The company is expected to benefit from the ongoing AI wave, with its PCB and copper-clad laminate (CCL) business poised for sustained growth [2] - The automotive sector is a significant focus, with the company having over 20 years of experience and a comprehensive product range that meets the increasing demand for electric and intelligent vehicles [7] - The company has achieved substantial growth in revenue and profit, driven by increased sales of copper-clad laminates and strong performance from its subsidiary, Shengyi Electronics [6] Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Data and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 255.10 billion, 307.47 billion, and 354.39 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with growth rates of 25.1%, 20.5%, and 15.3% respectively [9][15] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 28.32 billion, 36.97 billion, and 45.03 billion yuan for the same period, with growth rates of 62.9%, 30.5%, and 21.8% respectively [9][15] - The company's gross margin is projected to improve from 24.7% in 2025 to 26.7% in 2027 [8] Business Overview - The company specializes in the design, production, and sale of copper-clad laminates and printed circuit boards (PCBs), serving various high-demand sectors including AI servers, 5G antennas, and automotive electronics [10][11] - The global market for automotive PCBs is expected to grow significantly, with the company well-positioned to capture this growth due to its extensive product offerings [7] Market Trends - The global PCB market is projected to reach a value of 73.565 billion USD in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.2% from 2024 to 2029 [12] - The server and data storage PCB market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 11.6% from 2024 to 2029, significantly outpacing other PCB applications [6][12] Competitive Position - The company has achieved a global market share of 14% in rigid copper-clad laminates as of 2023, ranking second worldwide [6] - The company has established a strong management system and technical platform, enabling it to respond quickly to customer needs and market changes [6]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Leading the Market," indicating that it is expected to outperform the relevant market index by more than 10% over the next 6-12 months [8]. Core Insights - The domestic computing power market is expected to continue its robust growth, driven by advancements in AI technology and the development of new energy systems [6]. - AI technology is rapidly advancing from parameter competition to practical applications, enhancing productivity and reducing operational costs across various sectors [2][5]. - The integration of AI in content generation and marketing is becoming widespread, significantly improving efficiency and effectiveness [3]. Summary by Sections AI Computing Power - Domestic computing power chips are being released, with significant performance improvements, such as Huawei's CloudMatrix384 AI super node achieving 300 pFLOPS and enhancing inference throughput to 2300 tokens per second [1]. - The super node supports mixed expert models and can flexibly allocate resources, improving task parallel processing and increasing effective utilization of computing power by over 50% [1]. Energy Management Challenges - Data centers face challenges in power supply stability, cost control, and carbon emission management, with electricity costs accounting for nearly 60% of operational expenses [1]. - A shift towards a more flexible energy management model that integrates power supply, distribution, computing, and cooling is necessary to meet modern data center demands [1]. New Energy Trends - The report emphasizes the importance of incorporating renewable energy sources like solar and wind power into the electricity supply to enhance stability and reduce costs and emissions [1]. - It highlights the need to explore load flexibility on the demand side to optimize energy use and balance supply and demand [1]. AI Applications and Market Growth - The global AI market is expanding, with companies like Keguan achieving operational profitability through AI models [2]. - The report notes the potential for new consumer scenarios driven by advancements in robotics, VR, and smart driving technologies [5]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies involved in the domestic computing power supply chain and those with relevant technological reserves, such as Cambrian, Haiguang Information, and others [6]. - It also recommends monitoring companies in the AI application space, including BlueFocus, Tencent, and Bilibili, among others [6].