地方政府债与城投行业监测周报2025年第34期:超六成融资平台实现退出,甘肃出台全国首个省级 PPP 存量项目方案-20250918
Zhong Cheng Xin Guo Ji·2025-09-18 09:11
- Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The fiscal achievements during the 14th Five - Year Plan include enhanced financial strength, stable macro - regulation, improved people's livelihood, and effective risk prevention. Over 60% of financing platforms have exited, and in the 15th Five - Year Plan, debt reduction and development will go hand in hand to promote a positive cycle between economic development and debt management [5][8][11]. - Gansu issued the first provincial - level implementation plan for the construction and operation of PPP stock projects, aiming to solve related problems and promote the compliance and stable operation of projects [5][15]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1. News Reviews 3.1.1. Fiscal Achievements during the 14th Five - Year Plan - Fiscal macro - regulation has achieved new breakthroughs, with fiscal policies becoming more proactive, enhancing counter - cyclical and cross - cyclical adjustments, and emphasizing expectation management. The deficit rate has increased from 2.7% to 4%, and the total national general public budget expenditure is expected to exceed 136 trillion yuan, a 24% increase from the 13th Five - Year Plan [8]. - The expenditure structure has been further optimized, with a more prominent people - oriented focus. Fiscal investment in people's livelihood is nearly 100 trillion yuan, and in 2025, 100 billion yuan is allocated for child - rearing subsidies and 20 billion yuan for free pre - school education [10]. - Local debt risks have significantly converged, with over 60% of financing platforms exiting. The "6 + 4+2 debt - reduction combination" has achieved positive results, and the Ministry of Finance will advance the issuance of some new local government debt quotas in 2026 [11][12]. - Fiscal and tax reform and management have advanced in depth, forming a good pattern of more scientific budget management, more perfect tax systems, and more sound fiscal systems [13]. 3.1.2. Gansu's PPP Stock Project Plan - Gansu issued the "Implementation Plan for the Standardized Construction and Operation of Government - Social Capital Cooperation Stock Projects" on September 8, 2025. The plan has three - stage goals and proposes multiple measures to ensure the smooth construction of ongoing projects and the stable operation of operational projects [15]. 3.1.3. Early Repayment of Bonds by 29 Urban Investment Enterprises - 29 urban investment enterprises early - repaid the principal and interest of 29 bonds, with a total scale of 5.067 billion yuan, a decrease of 127 million yuan compared to the previous period. Most of the enterprises are in the eastern region, and the main rating is AA [17][18]. 3.1.4. Cancellation of Issuance of 4 Urban Investment Bonds - Four urban investment bonds with a planned issuance scale of 2.1 billion yuan were cancelled from September 10 - 12, 2025. As of September 12, 79 urban investment bonds have been postponed or cancelled this year, with a total scale of 50.264 billion yuan [19]. 3.2. Issuance of Local Government Bonds and Urban Investment Enterprise Bonds 3.2.1. Local Government Bonds - This week, 53 local government bonds were issued, with the issuance scale rising 223.02% to 301.672 billion yuan and the net financing rising 425.16% to 192.779 billion yuan. The weighted average issuance interest rate rose 13.59 BP to 2.17%, and the weighted average issuance spread narrowed 1.72 BP to 19.47 BP [20]. - Shenzhen issued 1 billion yuan of offshore RMB local government bonds in Macau on September 9, and Hainan issued 5 billion yuan of RMB local government bonds in Hong Kong on September 12 [20][21]. 3.2.2. Urban Investment Bonds - This week, 131 urban investment bonds were issued, with the issuance scale rising 26.02% to 94.766 billion yuan and the net financing rising 56.269 billion yuan to 21.563 billion yuan. The average issuance interest rate was 2.38%, a 0.56 BP increase, and the issuance spread was 80.48 BP, a 4.37 BP narrowing [25][27]. - Three overseas urban investment bonds were issued, with a total scale of 2.84 billion yuan, and the weighted average issuance interest rate was 4.11% [27]. 3.3. Trading of Local Government Bonds and Urban Investment Enterprise Bonds - The central bank conducted 1.2645 trillion yuan of reverse repurchase operations in the open market this week, with 1.0684 trillion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing, resulting in a net investment of 196.1 billion yuan [31]. - Short - term capital interest rates all increased. The trading volume of local government bond spot reached 434.793 billion yuan, a 15.64% increase, and most of the maturity yields increased, with an average increase of 4.67 BP [31]. - The trading volume of urban investment bonds was 253.397 billion yuan, a 0.57% increase, and all maturity yields increased, with an average increase of 5.63 BP. The spreads of 1 - year, 3 - year, and 5 - year AA+ urban investment bonds all widened [33]. - Ten urban investment entities had 14 abnormal transactions of 10 bonds, with the number of entities and abnormal transactions increasing compared to last week, while the number of bonds remained unchanged [33]. 3.4. Important Announcements of Urban Investment Enterprises - This week, 56 urban investment enterprises announced changes in senior management, legal representatives, directors, supervisors, etc., as well as changes in controlling shareholders, actual controllers, equity/asset transfers, cumulative new borrowings, name changes, business scope changes, and changes in the use of raised funds [36].