“十五五”通信行业前瞻：政策推动科技创新四大方向赋能新质

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the communication industry [4] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes that the communication industry is experiencing a transformation driven by policy support for technological innovation, focusing on four key areas that empower new productivity [4][6] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" has elevated the strategic positioning of technology from innovation-driven development to self-reliance and strength in technology, with the "15th Five-Year Plan" expected to further enhance this focus [6][8] - The communication industry's main growth drivers include optimized capital expenditure structures from operators and the rapid development of artificial intelligence, which is expected to enhance the industry's growth potential [6][11] Summary by Sections 1. Technology-Driven Development and New Productivity Foundation - The report outlines that the continuity of policy support for technology innovation is crucial for the development of new productivity, which is seen as a strategic initiative to overcome development bottlenecks [8][11] - The focus on new productivity emphasizes the integration of strategic emerging industries and future industries, aiming for high-quality development driven by innovation [11][12] 2. Communication Industry Overview - The communication industry is witnessing significant improvements in revenue quality, with a notable increase in inventory levels indicating tighter supply of raw materials [15][58] - Revenue growth in the light communication sector is leading, while the cyclical impact of operator capital expenditure is gradually weakening [58] 3. Operators: Quality Improvement and Innovation - Operators are undergoing continuous reforms, enhancing their roles as "chain leaders" in the industry, with a focus on strategic emerging industries [6][58] - The capital expenditure is increasingly directed towards intelligent computing, which is expected to generate new growth [6][58] 4. Intelligent Computing Demand Growth - The intelligent computing sector is experiencing a significant rise, with the hardware and software capabilities expected to improve substantially [6][58] - The light communication chain is benefiting from this growth, indicating a bright future for the industry [6][58] 5. Satellite Internet: Accelerated Network Development - The report notes that the development of low-orbit satellite networks is accelerating, supported by government policies [6][58] - The satellite industry chain is thriving, with active advancements in space computing [6][58] 6. Quantum Technology: Ongoing Exploration - The quantum information industry is showing high growth potential, with the market size for quantum communication expected to continue rising [6][58] 7. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on operators, light communication, quantum communication, and satellite internet sectors as key investment areas [6][58]