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海康威视(002415):主业与创新业务协同并进,编织智能物联生态网络

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Hikvision Technology Co., Ltd. [1] Core Views - Hikvision is positioned as a global leader in the security industry, focusing on intelligent IoT and digital transformation, leveraging its extensive experience in the field [7] - The company is expanding its innovative business segments, which are expected to contribute significantly to revenue growth, with a focus on eight key areas including robotics, smart logistics, and AIoT [7] - The development of AI large models is creating new business opportunities, enhancing both core and innovative business segments, thus supporting long-term sustainable growth [7] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 973 billion, 1080 billion, and 1179 billion RMB, with net profits expected to be 137 billion, 157 billion, and 179 billion RMB respectively [7] Financial Projections - Total revenue is projected to grow from 89,341 million RMB in 2023 to 117,903 million RMB in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9.16% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to fluctuate, with a decline in 2024 followed by a recovery, reaching 17,923 million RMB by 2027 [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to increase from 1.54 RMB in 2023 to 1.96 RMB in 2027 [1] Market Data - The closing price of Hikvision's stock is reported at 30.75 RMB, with a market capitalization of approximately 281.82 billion RMB [5] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 19.98 in 2023 to 15.72 in 2027, indicating potential value appreciation [1][5]