A股市场大势研判:指数放量调整
Dongguan Securities·2025-09-18 23:30

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a significant adjustment with major indices declining over 1%, indicating a weak market sentiment with over 4,300 stocks falling [2][6] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,831.66, down 1.15%, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 1.06% to 13,075.66 [2] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors included Electronics with a gain of 0.93% and Communications at 0.19%, while the worst performers were Non-ferrous Metals down 3.56% and Media down 2.25% [3] - Concept indices such as F5G and AI PC showed positive performance, while sectors like Metal Lead and Gold Concept faced significant declines [3] Economic Indicators - The Federal Reserve lowered interest rates by 25 basis points to a range of 4.00% to 4.25%, marking the first rate cut of the year, which is expected to ease pressure on the RMB exchange rate and domestic liquidity constraints [4][5] - The Ministry of Science and Technology reported that R&D investment in 2024 is expected to exceed 3.6 trillion yuan, a 48% increase from 2020, indicating a strong focus on innovation and technology [5] Future Outlook - The report suggests that the recent rate cut by the Federal Reserve may provide upward momentum for the A-share market, despite the current indices being at high levels and facing short-term adjustment pressures [6] - Investors are advised to flexibly manage their positions and optimize their portfolio structure, with a focus on sectors such as Non-ferrous Metals, Transportation, Public Utilities, Banking, and TMT [6]