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宝城期货股指期货早报(2025年9月19日)-20250919
Bao Cheng Qi Huo·2025-09-19 05:09
  1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided 2. Core View of the Report - The short - term view of the stock index is wide - range oscillation, the medium - term view is upward, and the intraday view is weakly oscillating. The core logic is the game between short - term capital profit - taking willingness and long - term policy benefit expectation fermentation [1][5] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Variety View Reference - Financial Futures Stock Index Sector - For IH2512, the short - term trend is oscillation, the medium - term trend is upward, the intraday trend is weakly oscillating, and the reference view is wide - range oscillation. The core logic is the game between short - term capital profit - taking willingness and long - term policy benefit expectation fermentation [1] 3.2 Main Variety Price Market Driving Logic - Financial Futures Stock Index Sector - The varieties include IF, IH, IC, IM. The intraday view is weakly oscillating, the medium - term view is upward, and the reference view is wide - range oscillation. Yesterday, each stock index oscillated and declined, with the whole - day trading volume of 316.66 billion yuan in the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing stock markets, an increase of 76.37 billion yuan compared with the previous day. The short - term decline is due to large previous increases, significant valuation increases, and insufficient confidence of investors to chase up. In the long - term, there is strong support from macro - policy benefits and net capital inflows. The key window period for policy introduction is expected to be in October. However, due to significant valuation increases of some stocks, there is still profit - taking pressure, resulting in short - term technical adjustment pressure on the stock index. The follow - up focus is on the game between capital profit - taking rhythm and policy expectation fermentation [5]