Guangzhou Haozhi Industrial (SZ:300503) Jianghai Securities·2025-09-19 09:25Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking the first coverage of the stock [1]. Core Views - The company is a leading player in the domestic high-end machine tool core component manufacturing sector, with strong R&D capabilities and a robust product lineup [1][2]. - The company has expanded its business into high-end equipment sectors such as CNC machine tools, robotics, and new energy vehicles, leveraging its technological strengths and market insights [2][18]. - The demand from end markets, particularly in consumer electronics and AI infrastructure, is driving the company's revenue growth, with significant year-on-year increases in both revenue and net profit [3][6]. - The burgeoning humanoid robotics market presents a new growth opportunity for the company, with projections indicating substantial market expansion in the coming years [4][6]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company, established in 2006, is one of the largest manufacturers in the spindle sector, having successfully listed on the Growth Enterprise Market in 2016 [1][13]. - It has developed a comprehensive R&D system, recognized as a "National Enterprise Technology Center" and has received numerous awards for its innovative products [1][14]. 2. Market Demand and Performance - The company has seen a recovery in revenue, achieving 1.307 billion yuan in 2024 and 703 million yuan in the first half of 2025, representing year-on-year growth of 30.63% and 14.21%, respectively [3][7]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of 2025 was 63 million yuan, up 15.41% year-on-year, with a significant increase in non-recurring net profit [3][6]. 3. Growth Opportunities - The humanoid robotics market is expected to grow significantly, with sales projected to reach 1.24 million units and a market size of 6.339 billion yuan by 2025 [4][6]. - The company has begun testing core components for humanoid robots, which could enhance its revenue streams and contribute to a second growth curve [4][6]. 4. Financial Forecasts - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 1.439 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 10.10%, and net profits of 121 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 45.42% [6][7]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to increase from 0.39 yuan in 2025 to 0.72 yuan by 2027 [6][7]. 5. Valuation - The report suggests a target price of 42.90 yuan based on a projected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 110 for 2025, indicating a significant upside from the current price of 30.99 yuan [6][4].