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2025 年中报总结:养殖盈利回升,宠物食品景气延续
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-09-19 11:02

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive investment outlook for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sector, highlighting significant profit growth across various sub-sectors [2][11]. Core Insights - The agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sector achieved a substantial year-on-year profit increase of 208% in the first half of 2025, with total net profit reaching 207.8 billion yuan [2][11]. - The sub-sectors with the highest profit growth included seed industry (+1212%), pig farming (+663%), and agricultural product processing (+60%) [2][11]. - The report emphasizes the recovery of profitability in pig farming, driven by improved cost efficiency and increased production volume, despite a slight decline in pig prices [2][17]. - The poultry sector, particularly white feathered chicken, is experiencing pressure due to oversupply and weak demand, while yellow feathered chicken prices have significantly dropped [2][17]. - The pet food industry is noted for its continued growth, with domestic brands gaining market share and profitability, despite challenges in export due to increased tariffs [2][3]. Summary by Sections 1. Overview of the Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery Sector - The sector's net profit for H1 2025 was 207.8 billion yuan, marking a 208% increase year-on-year [11]. - The second quarter of 2025 also showed a profit increase of 26% compared to the previous year, with notable growth in agricultural product processing and pig farming [15]. 2. Sub-sector Performance 2.1 Pig Farming - The pig farming sector reported a total revenue of 201.9 billion yuan in H1 2025, a 17.9% increase year-on-year, with net profit soaring to 159.24 billion yuan, up 866% [2][17]. - Despite a slight decline in pig prices, the sector benefited from increased production and reduced costs, leading to significant profit improvements [2][17]. 2.2 Poultry Farming - The white feathered chicken sector is stabilizing, with a slight recovery in profitability due to cost improvements, while the yellow feathered chicken sector faces significant price declines [2][17]. 2.3 Pet Food - The pet food sector saw a revenue increase of 21.4% in H1 2025, driven by domestic brand growth and improved profitability [2][3]. 2.4 Animal Health - The animal health sector experienced a revenue increase of 26.44% in H1 2025, with net profit rising by 68.35% [4]. 2.5 Feed - The feed sector reported a revenue increase of 13.3% in H1 2025, with net profit up 29.5% [4]. 2.6 Seed Industry - The seed industry faced challenges with a revenue decline of 9.7% in H1 2025, attributed to falling grain prices [4]. 3. Investment Analysis - The report suggests that the pig farming industry is entering a phase of stable, high-quality development, with potential for significant profit stability and valuation reassessment for leading companies [3][5]. - The pet food sector is expected to continue its long-term growth trajectory, supported by increasing pet ownership and spending [3][5].