Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, anticipating a relative increase of over 20% in stock price compared to the market benchmark within the next six months [5][15]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 4.833 billion yuan in H1 2025, a decrease of 25% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 84 million yuan, an increase of 102% year-on-year [2]. - The report highlights that cost advantages are helping to offset the pressure from lithium prices, with expectations for increased production from mining operations [1][5]. - The company has confirmed an investment income of 235 million yuan from SQM, marking a return to profitability compared to the previous year [2]. Financial Performance Summary - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.248 billion yuan, a decrease of 13% quarter-on-quarter, with a net loss of 20 million yuan [2]. - Lithium concentrate production in Q2 2025 was 340,000 tons, a slight decrease of 0.2% quarter-on-quarter but an increase of 2.3% year-on-year [3]. - The average selling price of lithium concentrate in Q2 2025 was 725 USD/ton, down 8.3% from the previous quarter [3]. - The cash production cost per ton in Q2 2025 was 366 AUD, an increase of 7.3% quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to lower ore grades [3]. Production and Cost Guidance - The company has provided production guidance for FY25, estimating an actual output of 1.479 million tons, with cash costs expected to be 325 AUD/ton, aligning with previous expectations [4]. - The production capacity of the lithium hydroxide plant in Australia is gradually increasing, with Q2 2025 output at 2,126 tons, a 36% increase quarter-on-quarter [4]. Profit Forecast - The profit forecast for the company has been adjusted, with expected net profits of 1.105 billion yuan, 1.556 billion yuan, and 1.790 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5].
天齐锂业(002466):2025中报点评:成本优势对冲锂价压力,期待矿端扩产放量