Guoxin Securities·2025-09-21 03:11Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Underperform" rating for the U.S. stock market [1] Core Insights - The U.S. stock market has reached new highs as the interest rate cut cycle begins, with the S&P 500 increasing by 1.2% and the Nasdaq by 2.2% [3] - There is a significant divergence in industry performance, with 10 sectors rising and 12 falling [3] - The report highlights a steady upward revision in earnings expectations for the S&P 500 components, with a 0.3% increase in the next 12 months' EPS forecast [5] Price Trends - The S&P 500 rose by 1.2% this week, while the Nasdaq increased by 2.2% [3] - The best-performing sectors included Automotive & Components (+6.9%), Technology Hardware & Equipment (+4.6%), and Media & Entertainment (+3.9%) [3] - The sectors that saw the largest declines were Durable Goods & Apparel (-2.4%) and Healthcare Equipment & Services (-1.8%) [3] Fund Flows - The estimated fund flow for S&P 500 components was +134.6 billion USD this week, down from +215.4 billion USD the previous week [4] - Notable inflows were seen in Software & Services (+42.4 billion USD), Automotive & Components (+40.1 billion USD), and Semiconductor Products & Equipment (+26.3 billion USD) [4] - The sectors experiencing outflows included Healthcare Equipment & Services (-6.5 billion USD) and Durable Goods & Apparel (-2.1 billion USD) [4] Earnings Forecast - The report indicates a 0.3% upward adjustment in the earnings expectations for the S&P 500 components, consistent with the previous week [5] - The Semiconductor Products & Equipment sector led the upward revisions with a +0.7% increase, followed by Energy (+0.6%) and Materials (+0.5%) [5] - The Durable Goods & Apparel sector was the only one to see a downward revision, with a -0.8% adjustment [5]