周报：8月全国规上工业发电量同比增长1.6%，天然气生产量同比增长5.9%-20250921

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Positive" for the utility sector [2][4]. Core Insights - The report highlights a year-on-year increase of 1.6% in national industrial power generation and a 5.9% increase in natural gas production for August [1][6]. - The utility sector has shown a decline of 2.2% as of September 19, underperforming the broader market [5][13]. - The report suggests that the power sector is expected to see profit improvement and value reassessment due to ongoing power supply-demand tensions and market reforms [6]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - As of September 19, the utility sector has decreased by 2.2%, with the power sector down by 2.52% and the gas sector up by 1.53% [5][15]. - The report notes that the average daily power generation exceeded 30 billion kWh for the first time in August, reaching 30.2 billion kWh [6]. Power Industry Data Tracking - The price of Qinhuangdao port thermal coal (Q5500) increased by 21 CNY/ton week-on-week, reaching 699 CNY/ton [5][23]. - The inventory of thermal coal at Qinhuangdao port decreased by 80,000 tons week-on-week, totaling 6.3 million tons [5][32]. - The outflow from the Three Gorges Reservoir increased by 239.9% year-on-year, reaching 25,900 cubic meters per second [6][47]. Natural Gas Industry Data Tracking - The LNG ex-factory price index in China was 4,019 CNY/ton as of September 19, a year-on-year decrease of 21.92% [6][60]. - The EU's natural gas supply for week 36 of 2025 was 5.6 billion cubic meters, a year-on-year increase of 16.7% [6][65]. - Domestic natural gas consumption in July 2025 was 36.17 billion cubic meters, a year-on-year increase of 2.9% [6][60]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading coal power companies such as Guodian Power, Huaneng International, and Huadian International due to expected performance improvements [6]. - For natural gas, companies with low-cost long-term gas sources and receiving station assets are highlighted as potential beneficiaries [6].