行业点评报告：锂电需求预期上行，固态产业催化持续

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - Recent developments include the issuance of the "New Energy Storage Scale Construction Special Action Plan (2025-2027)" by the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration [3] - The first batch of 60Ah sulfide all-solid-state batteries is expected to be delivered by Funeng Technology to strategic partners by the end of this year, achieving an energy density of 400Wh/kg [3] Summary by Sections Demand Expectations - The new energy storage development goals for 2025-2027 aim for over 100 million kilowatts of new installed capacity in the next three years, supported by domestic policies [3] - In the first half of 2025, Chinese companies secured 199 overseas energy storage orders/cooperations, totaling over 160GWh, representing a year-on-year increase of 220.28% [3] Price and Demand Trends - Battery prices are stabilizing, with expectations for simultaneous volume and price increases in 2025-2026 due to robust demand from energy storage and commercial vehicle electrification [3] - The mainstream price range for 314Ah energy storage cells is between 0.26 CNY/Wh and 0.32 CNY/Wh, with leading companies likely to eliminate rebates as part of a price increase strategy [3] Solid-State Battery Industry - The solid-state battery industry is transitioning from pilot lines to mass production, with expectations for full-scale production to begin in 2027 [3] - Key technologies include roller pressing, isostatic pressing, and homogenization, with traditional equipment manufacturers having an advantage [3] - Lithium metal anodes are expected to maintain long-term competitiveness over silicon anodes, and soft-pack aluminum-plastic films are favored for packaging [3] Investment Recommendations - Focus on lithium battery leaders such as CATL, Yiwei Lithium Energy, and Xinwangda due to sustained demand from energy storage and commercial vehicles [4] - Material companies to watch include Tianci Materials, Molybdenum, Putailai, Shangtai Technology, and Fulin Precision [4] - For solid-state batteries, companies with high equipment certainty and advantages in production lines and materials include CATL, Xianlead Intelligent, Nakanor, Honggong Technology, Liyuanheng, Haichen Pharmaceutical, Huasheng Lithium Battery, Shanghai Washba, Xiamen Tungsten New Energy, and Zhongyi Technology [4]