Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-09-21 07:43Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the non-bank financial sector, indicating an "Overweight" investment rating for the industry [2][3]. Core Insights - The brokerage sector has experienced a recent adjustment, with the Shenwan Brokerage II Index declining by 3.51%, underperforming the CSI 300 Index by 3.07 percentage points. However, the sector is expected to maintain double-digit year-on-year profit growth in Q3 2025, supported by ongoing capital inflows [3][6]. - The insurance sector has seen a decline of 4.76% in the Shenwan Insurance II Index, with significant movements such as Ping An Life increasing its stake in China Pacific Insurance to over 10%. This reflects a strong positive outlook from insurance capital towards the sector [3][8]. - The report highlights the upcoming National New Conference on September 22, which is anticipated to bring new policies that could positively impact market sentiment [3][15]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The CSI 300 Index closed at 4501.92 with a slight decline of 0.44%. The non-bank index reported a drop of 3.66%, with the brokerage, insurance, and diversified financial sectors showing declines of 3.51%, 4.76%, and 0.50% respectively [6][8]. Non-Bank Industry Key Data - As of September 19, 2025, the 10-year government bond yield was 1.88%, with a slight increase of 0.65 basis points. The average daily stock trading volume reached 25,181.36 billion yuan, reflecting an increase of 8.23% week-on-week [11][14]. Non-Bank Industry News and Key Announcements - The report notes that the property insurance sector achieved a record high in underwriting profits in the first half of 2025, with premium growth of 4.2% [16]. - Ping An Life's recent acquisition of shares in China Pacific Insurance is seen as a strong signal of confidence in the insurance sector's investment value [19]. - China Pacific Insurance announced the completion of a convertible bond issuance, which is expected to enhance its capital position [20]. Investment Recommendations - For brokerages, the report recommends focusing on leading firms benefiting from improved competitive dynamics, such as GF Securities, Guotai Junan, and CITIC Securities. It also suggests considering firms with strong international business capabilities like China Galaxy and CICC [3][8]. - In the insurance sector, the report recommends China Life, China Pacific, New China Life, and Ping An, among others, due to their favorable valuation and growth prospects [3][8].