Core Insights - The A-share market is currently experiencing a "slow bull" trend, supported by new policies and investment strategies, with expectations of a gradual upward movement in September 2025 [7][28]. - Recent macroeconomic data indicates a decline in fixed asset investment and retail sales, which may lead to increased market expectations for favorable policy interventions [6][25]. Market Performance - During the week of September 15-19, 2025, A-share indices showed mixed results, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 1.30% and the ChiNext Index up 2.34%, indicating volatility in the market [3][9]. - The largest weekly fluctuation was observed in the Sci-Tech Innovation Board Index, which had a volatility of 5.95% [9]. Sector Analysis - Among the 31 first-level industries, coal and electric equipment sectors performed well, with weekly gains of 3.51% and 3.07% respectively, while banking and non-ferrous metals sectors saw declines of -4.21% and -4.02% [4][19]. - In the second-level industry analysis, home appliance components and engineering machinery led with weekly gains of 11.35% and 6.10%, while small metals and marine equipment sectors faced significant declines of -7.66% and -6.99% [5][22]. Macroeconomic Data - Fixed asset investment growth continued to decline, with an August year-on-year growth rate of 0.50%, driven by decreases in infrastructure, manufacturing, and real estate investments [6][25]. - Retail sales growth also weakened, with August's year-on-year growth at 3.40%, leading to a cumulative growth rate of 4.60%, the lowest level in 2025 [26][28]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on sectors related to anti-involution, technology (especially AI), and environmental protection, as these areas are expected to benefit from ongoing policy support and market trends [7][28].
8月固定资产投资累计同比增速下滑，A股指数高位震荡：2025.09.15-2025.09.19日策略周报-20250921
Xiangcai Securities·2025-09-21 08:12