Minsheng Securities·2025-09-21 09:34Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment rating for the automotive and automotive parts industry, highlighting key companies to focus on, including Geely, Xiaopeng, Li Auto, BYD, and Xiaomi Group [5][10]. Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the significant catalyst from Tesla's Optimus V3 robot, which is expected to be released in Q4 2025, with production targets of hundreds of prototype units within the year and a potential output of one million units within five years [2][11]. - The automotive sector is experiencing a strong performance, with the A-share automotive sector rising by 3.1% in the week of September 15-19, outperforming the broader market [32]. - The report suggests a focus on the core combination of companies that are expected to benefit from the acceleration of intelligent and globalized breakthroughs in the automotive industry [10][13]. Weekly Market Performance - The automotive sector outperformed the market, with a 3.1% increase in A-share automotive stocks, ranking third among sub-industries, while the broader market (CSI 300) declined by 1.3% [32]. - Within the automotive sub-sectors, automotive parts, automotive services, and passenger vehicles saw increases of 5.2%, 2.3%, and 0.8% respectively, while commercial passenger and cargo vehicles experienced declines of 0.5% and 2.5% [32]. Weekly Data - In the second week of September 2025, passenger car sales reached 458,000 units, a year-on-year decrease of 4.7% but a month-on-month increase of 24.7%. New energy vehicle sales were 271,000 units, showing a year-on-year increase of 6.2% and a month-on-month increase of 22.8% [3][46]. Key Company Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on high-quality domestic companies that are accelerating breakthroughs in intelligence and globalization, specifically highlighting Geely, Xiaopeng, Li Auto, BYD, and Xiaomi Group [10][13]. - For the parts sector, it suggests investing in companies involved in intelligent driving and smart cockpits, such as Berteli, Horizon Robotics, and Jifeng [14][15]. New Model Orders - The report notes strong orders for new passenger car models, with the launch of the Xiangjie S9T and the Galaxy M9 generating significant pre-orders shortly after their release [12][13]. Robotics Sector - The report highlights the accelerating entry of leading companies into the robotics sector, particularly focusing on Tesla's Optimus V3 and the potential for significant advancements in hardware components [16][19]. Liquid Cooling Market - The report discusses the rapid growth of the liquid cooling market, projected to reach $21.3 billion by 2030, driven by the increasing demand for high-performance computing [20][22]. Motorcycle Market - The motorcycle market is experiencing a surge in demand for mid-to-large displacement motorcycles, with sales in August 2025 showing a year-on-year increase of 23.6% [23][24]. Heavy Truck Market - The heavy truck market is expected to benefit from expanded subsidies for replacing older vehicles, which will stimulate demand for new trucks [25][26]. Tire Industry - The tire industry is seeing a strong performance, with domestic and international demand remaining high, and companies are encouraged to focus on global expansion and product optimization [28][30].