Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-09-21 11:44Group 1 - The report focuses on the impact of the new VAT regulations on the pricing and investment of financial bonds, particularly after the implementation on August 8, 2025 [7][8][20] - Different types of institutions are affected differently by the new VAT regulations, with the order of impact being: proprietary trading of financial institutions > public funds > other asset management products > qualified foreign investors [8][9][11] - The comprehensive tax rate increase for interest income post-regulation is as follows: proprietary trading of financial institutions (4.75%) > public funds (3.26%) > other asset management products (2.45%) > qualified foreign investors (0%) [9][11] Group 2 - The static impact of the new VAT regulations indicates that the effect on proprietary trading of financial institutions is greater than on asset management products, with a potential decrease in after-tax yields of 4-10 basis points (BP) [14][16] - For financial bonds with the same nominal yield, the required increase in nominal yield to achieve the same after-tax yield ranges from 5-15 BP, with proprietary trading needing 11-15 BP and asset management products needing 5-7 BP [14][16] - The report notes that the new bonds issued after the VAT regulation generally have higher coupon rates compared to comparable existing bonds, reflecting a yield compensation due to the new tax [20][21] Group 3 - Since the implementation of the new VAT regulations, a total of 226 new financial bonds have been issued, amounting to 720.4 billion yuan, with the majority being ordinary bonds from securities firms [20][21] - The report highlights that the pricing of new and old bonds is still in the discovery phase, with recent trends showing that the yield spread between new and old bonds varies across different types of financial bonds [20][21] - Investors are advised to consider the cost-effectiveness of older bonds compared to new issues, particularly in the context of AAA/AAA- rated ordinary bonds from securities firms [20][21]