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恒鑫生活(301501):纸塑餐饮具龙头,新消费客户共成长

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Hold" rating to Hengxin Life [5][6] Core Views - Hengxin Life is a leading company in the paper and plastic food service products industry, demonstrating steady growth with a projected revenue of 1.59 billion yuan in 2024, an increase of 11.86% year-on-year, and a net profit of 220 million yuan, up 2.82% year-on-year [3][26] - The company has a robust competitive edge through a rich product line, strong customer relationships, and production scale advantages [4][39] - Global expansion is accelerating, with the establishment of a subsidiary in Thailand to mitigate trade risks, and the PHA technology is expected to become a new growth engine [4][50] Summary by Sections Company Overview - Hengxin Life specializes in the R&D, production, and sales of paper and plastic food service products, utilizing raw materials such as original paper, PLA particles, and traditional plastic particles [3][12] - The company has developed proprietary technologies in PLA modification, coating, and molding, becoming a supplier for many well-known domestic and international brands [3][12] Competitive Advantages - The company has three core competitive advantages: 1. Industry Chain and Product Line Advantage: Full-process production capabilities allow for a diverse product line tailored to customer needs [4][39] 2. Brand and Customer Advantage: Stable relationships with major clients, with the top five customers accounting for 41.27% of sales in 2024 [4][39] 3. Production Scale Advantage: Multiple advanced production lines enable an annual capacity of 9 billion units, supporting large-scale customization and rapid delivery [4][39] Global Expansion and Technology - The establishment of a subsidiary in Thailand in February 2024 aims to counter trade friction risks, with existing U.S. orders gradually shifting to the Thai factory [4][50] - The breakthrough in PHA technology opens up long-term growth potential, as PHA offers superior degradation and application properties compared to other biodegradable materials [4][50][53] Financial Forecast and Investment Recommendations - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 1.88 billion, 2.13 billion, and 2.31 billion yuan, with net profits of 246 million, 280 million, and 317 million yuan respectively [5][58] - The company is positioned to benefit from the global "plastic ban" trend, enhancing its market penetration and serving international clients effectively [5][63]