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机械行业周报(20250915-20250921):关注流程工业装备出海、人形机器人-20250922
Huachuang Securities·2025-09-22 06:05

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the mechanical industry, with a focus on the export of process industrial equipment and humanoid robots [1]. Core Insights - The petrochemical industry is expected to become a major source of global oil demand growth, benefiting from China's mature industrial chain and related equipment. Despite challenges such as energy transition and geopolitical risks, global oil demand is projected to grow by 2.5 million barrels per day from 2024 to 2030, reaching 105.5 million barrels per day [6]. - The humanoid robot sector is highlighted for three key reasons: new technology directions focusing on cost reduction and lightweight designs, the importance of application scenarios, and the division of the robot market into two main segments: equipment and data/visualization [6]. - The report suggests that monetary and fiscal policies are being strengthened, which may lead to a new recovery cycle in the equipment industry. Key companies to watch include Huichuan Technology, Xinjie Electric, and Weichuang Electric in the industrial control sector, and various companies in the robotics and machine tool sectors [6]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The mechanical industry consists of 632 listed companies with a total market capitalization of approximately 6,323.2 billion yuan and a circulating market value of about 5,266.4 billion yuan [3]. Company Earnings Forecasts and Valuations - Key companies and their projected earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for 2025E to 2027E are as follows: - Huichuan Technology: EPS of 2.12 yuan in 2025E, PE of 38.60 [2]. - Flantak: EPS of 0.60 yuan in 2025E, PE of 18.12 [2]. - Xinjie Electric: EPS of 1.83 yuan in 2025E, PE of 34.64 [2]. - Oke Yi: EPS of 0.71 yuan in 2025E, PE of 32.04 [2]. - Lanjian Intelligent: EPS of 1.50 yuan in 2025E, PE of 25.98 [2]. Market Performance - The mechanical sector has shown a 1.5% increase in the past week, while the overall market performance of the Shanghai Composite Index was -1.3% [10][15]. - Among sub-sectors, boiler equipment had the highest increase at 12.3%, while shipbuilding had the lowest at -4.0% [11]. Investment Recommendations - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on companies in various sectors, including industrial control, robotics, machine tools, and testing industries, suggesting a broad range of investment opportunities [6][21].