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国泰海通建材鲍雁辛一周观点:消费建材基本面与预期兼具,玻纤全系列涨价周期-20250922
Haitong Securities·2025-09-22 06:50

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the construction materials industry, indicating a recovery in the consumption segment and a price increase cycle for fiberglass products [1][5][7]. Core Insights - The construction materials sector is showing signs of recovery, with the fundamentals entering a positive phase, particularly in real estate sales and construction starts [1][20][21]. - A price increase cycle for fiberglass products is anticipated, driven by supply-demand dynamics and market conditions [2][6][7]. - The cement industry is entering a peak season with price increases observed in various regions, supported by policy measures aimed at limiting overproduction [4][27][28]. Summary by Sections Construction Materials - The consumption construction materials sector is stabilizing, with expectations of improved revenue performance starting in Q3 2025 due to lower revenue baselines and reduced price competition [1][20][21]. - Companies like Hanhigh Group and Sankeshu are already showing growth, with expectations for Dongfang Yuhong to follow suit [1][15]. Fiberglass - The fiberglass market is experiencing a price increase cycle, with major companies discussing price hikes for various products, including low dielectric fabrics [2][6]. - The supply-demand balance is shifting positively, with larger manufacturers maintaining good inventory control while smaller producers are adjusting prices upward [6][7]. Cement - The cement market is witnessing a slight price increase, with specific regions like Jiangsu and Anhui implementing price hikes [4][27]. - The report highlights the potential for growth in the cement sector due to policy support and overseas expansion opportunities [27][28]. Investment Recommendations - Companies such as China Jushi, Zhongcai Technology, and Feilihua are highlighted for their strong market positions and growth potential in the fiberglass and construction materials sectors [10][12][18]. - Huaxin Cement is noted for its overseas expansion and profitability, particularly from its Nigerian operations, which are expected to contribute significantly to future earnings [31][33].