零跑汽车(09863):公司储备产品丰富,销量有望继续提升,建议“买进”

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside in the stock price [4][7]. Core Insights - The company is expected to launch multiple new products, enhancing its product matrix and driving sales growth. The upcoming launch of the Leap D19, a luxury flagship SUV, is anticipated to significantly impact market positioning [8][9]. - The company has established a competitive advantage in the 100,000 to 200,000 RMB price range, with plans to expand into the market above 200,000 RMB. The focus on self-research and development for over 70% of core components supports high cost-performance products and rapid product iteration [9]. - The company is projected to achieve profitability by 2025, with net profits expected to reach 895 million RMB, 4.095 billion RMB, and 5.662 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively. The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 0.67 RMB, 3.06 RMB, and 4.24 RMB for the same years [9][11]. Company Overview - The company operates primarily in the automotive industry, with 99% of its product portfolio focused on vehicles [5]. - As of September 19, 2025, the company's H-share price was 64.95 HKD, with a market capitalization of approximately 55.885 billion HKD [3]. - The company has seen a significant increase in sales, with a year-on-year growth of 136% in the first eight months of 2025, totaling 328,800 vehicles sold [11]. Product Development and Market Strategy - The Leap D19 is set to be launched on October 16, 2025, and is expected to compete in the high-end SUV market, with a price range of 250,000 to 300,000 RMB [9]. - The company has also showcased the Leap Lafa5, a pure electric hatchback, at the Munich Auto Show, targeting a younger demographic with a price range of 100,000 to 150,000 RMB [9]. - The company aims to achieve a sales target of 1 million vehicles by 2026, representing a growth of 54% to 72% compared to 2025 [11].